S1062: The importance of U.S. food and agricultural trade in a new global market environment

(Multistate Research Project)

Status: Inactive/Terminating

Project Menu

SAES-422 Reports

Annual/Termination Reports:

[06/10/2014] [11/21/2014] [03/28/2016] [10/31/2015] [08/11/2016] [08/24/2017] [10/16/2017] [07/05/2018]

Date of Annual Report: 06/10/2014

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 03/06/2014 - 03/07/2014
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2013 - 03/06/2014

Participants

Brief Summary of Minutes

No minutes available

Accomplishments

Publications

Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 11/21/2014

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 10/02/2014 - 10/03/2014
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2013 - 09/01/2014

Participants

S-1062 Members Present and Institutional Affiliations

Osei Yeboah North Carolina A&T State University
Lynn Kennedy LSU Ag. Center
Norbert Wilson Auburn University
Andrew Schmitz University of Florida
James Seale University of Florida
Mickey Paggi Fresno State
David Bullock University of Illinois
Amanda Leister Colorado State University
Eric Young North Carolina State
Parr Rosson Texas A&M University
Flynn Adcock Texas A&M University
Luis Ribera Texas A&M University
Wyatt Thompson University of Missouri
Darren Hudson Texas Tech University
Henry Kinnucan Auburn University
T. Edward Yu University of Tennessee

Brief Summary of Minutes

Minutes Attachment:

Attachment

Accomplishments

Publications

Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 03/28/2016

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 03/26/2015 - 03/27/2015
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2015 - 09/30/2016

Participants

Osei Yeboah North Carolina A&T State University
Norbert Wilson Auburn University
Andrew Schmitz University of Florida
David Bullock University of Illinois
Amanda Leister Colorado State University
Eric Young North Carolina State
Luis Ribera Texas A&M University
Wyatt Thompson University of Missouri
Darren Hudson Texas Tech University
Eric Wailes University of Arkansas
Alwin Jimenez Maldonado University of Puerto Rico
Mario Julio Barragan University of Puerto Rico

Brief Summary of Minutes

A. Morning Activities, Thursday, March 26, 2015

Introduction and Discussion of the Agenda:

The meeting was called to order by Chairman Luis Ribera, Texas A&M University at 09:00 am. The Chair began by asking the group to introduce themselves. He then quickly went through the outline of the agenda.

Eric Young: Gave an update on the President’s budget, which includes increases in funds for Hatch, Smith-Lever, and Evans Allen.

ESCOP: Experiment station and extension directors are pursuing jointly:

· Water resources initiative. $100 million per year

· Healthy Food and Healthy People: makes the length between agricultural systems and food, nutrition and health.

· Infrastructure survey: survey currently underway to understand everything related to infrastructure investments in agricultural research and extension in the land grant system. The goal is to get additional funding to invest in renovations in agricultural research institutions. Specifically related to buildings in colleges of Ag, focused on research and teaching.

· Futuring effort: look 20 years down the road (operational and programmatic) to see where we are and how we will meet future needs

Luis Ribera: Lead discussion regarding location for the next meeting. David Bullock moved to hold the meetings in San Antonio, Texas. Darren Hudson seconded the motion. Unanimous vote to have the meetings in October in San Antonio, Texas. (Possibly at the Menger hotel: either the week of October 12-16 or October 26-30). Ideas for future meetings include Florida, North Carolina and Augusta, Georgia and Fort Collins, CO.

Andrew Schmitz: Food Security in an Uncertain World: An International Perspective, Emerald Insight Publishing. Andy Highlighted the contributions of S-1062 members to the project. He also commented on potential future work regarding GMOs, which sparked a lively discussion among members. Topics discussed include willingness to pay for certain food products, availability of healthy food, labeling, and agricultural stabilization given government instability and military presence. Andy is inviting participation in an update of encyclopedia of agricultural sciences on the importance of trade. He also encouraged the group to consider more work on the effects of drought and trade. Eric Wailes talked about GMO rice that is drought tolerant and how that interplays with the resistance to GMO crops.

David Bullock and Norbert Wilson: Presentation on the upcoming sub-conference with GMCC15 in the Netherlands on GMOS that is funded through the AFRI grant that was awarded to the group.

Key Points:

· November 17-18 in Amsterdam (suggestion to fly before Nov 15th to save significantly on airfare)

· 8 papers have been submitted, and a few additional papers are expected, with financial support

· Topics include TTIP and GMO-related issues

· Papers will be featured in a special issue in the Journal of Food and Industrial Organization

State Reports:

David Bullock: Research at the University of Illinois includes work conducted by the European Center to assess the economic impacts of European policy, including TTIP. The Center received small grant from EU Commission to investigate the effects of TTIP on European countries that aren’t in the EU with colleagues, including Kathy Baylis, Lia Nogueria. Reviewed literature regarding how and why trade agreements come about, which was presented at IATRC. He is also starting a project with colleague at INRA on weed resistance to GMOs. Also starting a paper on why trade negotiations are secret, using a political economy model. David and colleagues continue international efforts to understand the implications of EU policy.

Osei Yeboah: North Carolina A&T State University conducts research on a variety of international issues. Osei has applied for an AFRI grant, and is finishing work with a graduate student related to TPP. He is also working on a project in Ghana with FAS cowpea value chain and trade.

Wyatt Thompson: FAPRI at the University of Missouri covers three key areas of research and activities. FAPRI-MU develops multi-year projections of agricultural commodity and biofuel markets as part of their baseline and policy analysis research. The new baseline from FAPRI-MU just came out and is publically accessible. There is considerable work on biofuels and trade as well as international model development for livestock, dairy and crops. They are also working on climate change adaptation, food loss and waste, fertilizer markets, food loss and waste. The center has projects in Russia, Bulgaria, UK, Ireland, Turkey and may projects in Africa.

Darren Hudson: The Center for International Competitiveness at Texas Tech University assesses the competitiveness of US exports of cotton, corn, sorghum and other commodities. Collaborates with FAPRI-MU on the baseline project. They are working on a sorghum project that will mimic their cotton model. Darren is working with a graduate student on the Chinese-Australia trade agreement will affect sorghum and livestock demand. China has become a key export market for US sorghum, given their increased demand for sorghum as livestock feed. This work is contributing to building a global model for sorghum. Work on a Department of Defense funded project relating to water scarcity linked to food production as well as projects related to sustainable food processes in Africa are also projects covered. Work also focuses on biofuels, and water markets. Darren just received a grant with colleagues to create an experimental lab, which will focus on potential for water markets.

Amanda Leister- Amanda has worked on issues related to the effects of a potential TPP on agriculture, the effects of drought on the US Livestock sector, impacts of the special safeguard mechanism and specific tariffs and has new projects relating to Japanese beef import demand, the effects of invasive species on trade and transportations costs, and changes in transportation costs given the use of the northern sea route and northwest routes for shipping. Colorado State University will be hiring an assistant or associate professor focusing on agricultural finance and agribusiness research and teaching.

Mary Marchant: Work at Virginia Tech is officially housed with Jason Grant and Mary, but there are several faculty who are working on trade including David Orden, Everett Peterson and Richard Crowder. Virginia has a Conference on International Trade, which has helped to establish the Program in Agricultural Trade. Jason and Mary received 2 AFRI grants covering China, and SPS measures focusing on vegetable trade. Mary, Jason and students have presented at IATRC and the southern meetings, and have several papers related to their work.

Break for Lunch

Amanda Leister: Gave a presentation on the implications of emerging shipping routes in the Arctic and how the reduction in transportation and trade costs may affect trade.

In summary:

Commercial use of Arctic routes will decrease the shipping distance between Northeast Asia (China, Japan, South Korea) and the east coast of the US (Northwestern Route) and the EU (North Sea Route)
Distance reductions are used to estimate transportation and trade cost reductions
Cost changes will affect trade and corresponding macroeconomic indicators. Northeast Asian countries stand to gain the most (in terms of GDP and Welfare), US and a subset of EU countries may gain as well.
Relatively small increases in CO2 emissions are expected and use of the NSR and NWR will put additional pressure on the Arctic environment.

Alwin Jimenez Maldonado: from the Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology in the College of Agricultural Sciences and Agricultural Extension at the University of Puerto Rico joined for the afternoon presentations.

Wyatt Thompson: Gave presentation on the outlook for US Ag commodity markets and trade under the new Farm Bill.

Key points:

Wyatt described the components of the 2014 Farm Bill, discussed the expected levels of payments for various crops as well as the expected changes in trade for key commodities and biofuels.

Luis Ribera: Presentation on potential increase in trade between the US and Cuba.

Key points:

Luis gave a description of the history of US-Cuba relations and an overview of the Cuban market.
Grains, Processed Foods, Meats, Vegetables, and Condiments all have potential
Prospects for trade depend on tourism, nickel prices and remittances
The question remains as to whether or not Cuba is a market
US exports have the potential to double in the long run and triple in the long run
Trade patterns influenced by US policies and Cuba

Andy Schmitdz: Jim Seale is working on China. Andy has worked on food security and health economics with a few post-docs and colleagues. He has worked on the tobacco buyout and research on peanuts. He has continued work on Benefit –Cost Analysis including how to do benefit-cost analysis for addictive goods? Andy and colleagues are also working on food guidelines.

Eric Wailes: Just finished a 3 year project on international barriers related to GM rice including country case studies. Studies looked at BT rice, golden rice and a stacked trait relative to conventional rice. Eric is also working with USITC on the competiveness of US rice relative to the rest of the world using the RICEFLOW model. Eric is also working on a Gates Foundation project looking at Food Security in Africa. The Japanese government is also funding African research investigating rice as a new substitute for cassava and other foodstuffs, and Eric’s work through the Gates Foundation will analyze optimal strategies for African countries regarding rice and rice policy.

Norbert Wilson: Currently wrapping up his sabbatical at Cornell. Norbert has also food on food security and has switched to behavioral economics, and has new work on coffee. Norbert is also looking at food waste on the consumer side using experimental economics. New work also evaluates grocery taxes. Henry Kunucan has continued to work on exchange rate volatility in salmon.

Luis Ribera: Luis has continued to work on biofuel related research. Work also includes studies related to dietary guidelines and trade, as well as transportation and trade related to the new Mexican highway. Luis has two MS students analyzing crime in Mexico and livestock trade as well as the Mexican highway impact on vegetable trade, as well as work on US-Cuba relations.

Friday, March 27, 2015

Luis reconvened the meeting at 9:00 a.m. and we continued with the agenda.

Alwin Jimenez Maldonado: Presentation on the Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology in the College of Agricultural Sciences and Agricultural Extension at the University of Puerto Rico.

Key points:

· The Departments in the College of Agricultural Sciences includes 5 departments

o Animal Sciences, Crops and Agroenvironmental Science, Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, Agricultural Education, Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering

· The Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology

o 13 Faculty Members, 3 Admin Staff, 60 undergraduate students (Agribusiness and Agricultural Economics), and 20 Masters Students

o Several grant projects are underway with federal, state and institutional funds

o Research and Outreach projects include the following topics: Women in agriculture, nursery market variability, developing instruction in food and ag related sciences at land grant institutions in the Pacific and Caribbean, distance education, technology and management education center for socially disadvantaged farmers in Puerto Rico, farm management, and community based participatory research to improve health in children, analysis and retrieval of data on ag commodities, exploring studies in rural sociology, modeling and controlling the spread of invasive species over heterogenous landscapes, specialty crop production, multistate research coordination, Farm Bill producer education, specialty fruit crops, specialty coffee, and more

· Puerto Rico has 12 ports but more than 90% of imports come into the port of San Juan. The island produces 10% of consumption, and unemployment is 14%

Mario Julio Barragan: Presentation on modeling initiatives at University of Puerto Rico regarding agriculture and the economy.

Key points:

Puerto Rico is similar in size to Connecticut: similar in geographic size and population, but GDP per capita is twice as high in CT
Agricultural production on the island is diverse
Puerto Rico’s yields are lower than other Latin American countries for coffee and bananas, wages are higher, and land prices as quite lower.
Coffee production has decreased over the last 4 years
Research efforts focus on cost of production and local marketing, consequences of ag land abandonment, explanations for the past and predictions for the future, as well as new market niches (coffee, and achachairu fruit)

Luis: Reviewed plans to hold the next S-1062 Project meetings in San Antonio in October, 2015.

11:00 Adjourn

Respectfully submitted,

Amanda M. Leister

Accomplishments

Publications

Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 10/31/2015

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 10/29/2015 - 10/30/2015
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2015 - 09/30/2016

Participants

Osei Yeboah North Carolina A&T State University
Norbert Wilson Auburn University
Karen Lewis University of Tennessee
David Bullock University of Illinois
Amanda (Leister) Countryman Colorado State University
Eric Young North Carolina State
Luis Ribera Texas A&M University
Shida Henneberry Oklahoma State University
Lynn Kennedy Louisiana State University
Kwan Choi Iowa State University

Brief Summary of Minutes

Introduction and Discussion of the Agenda:

The meeting was called to order by Chairman Luis Ribera, Texas A&M University at 09:00 am. The Chair began by asking the group to introduce themselves. He then discussed the agenda for the meeting.

Eric Young: Gave an update on the federal budget, which raises AFRI funding.
He also discussed the formation of the Foundation for Food and Agriculture. The Foundation has a one-time allocation of $200 million, which is expected to be matched. The key focus areas of the Foundation are agricultural productivity and profitability, as well as food and human health. He also discussed the new commodity group matching grant program with AFRI, which allows a recognized commodity group to apply for matching funds to announce an RFA.

Norbert asked about the potential for a change in direction for NIFA priorities with the coming change in administration. Eric described the nonpartisan nature of NIFA, yet acknowledged that they may be some changes in direction, depending on the new administration.

Eric discussed some big picture trade topics: He indicated that a big driver of discussion related to trade includes the actions of China, and to a lesser extent, India’s effects on trade. He also discussed the extension directors’ role in not allowing the National Peanut Board to ban international licensing of intellectual property. Eric also discussed the strengths of interdisciplinary and multistate research, and the group discussed our success through collaborative work that has been pursued as a result of project membership and interaction.

David Bullock and Norbert Wilson: Presentation on the upcoming sub-conference with GMCC15 in the Netherlands on GMOS that is funded through the AFRI grant that was awarded to the group. Norbert described the reasoning for the conference.

Review of Key Points:
* November 17-18 in Amsterdam (suggestion to fly before Nov 15th to save significantly on airfare)
* 10 papers will be presented on topics related to TTIP and GMO-related issues
* Norbert asked for members to serve as reviewers for the papers to be considered for the special issue in the Journal of Food and Industrial Organization

Norbert Wilson: Norbert discussed the end of project report that is passed due, and asked for contributions for inclusion in the report. The group decided to spend time each year, starting with this meeting, to complete our annual or project completion reports.

Luis: New officers were elected. Amanda (leister) Countryman is the new Chair of the group and Karen Lewis is the newly elected Secretary.

Break for lunch

Presentations

David Bullock: Public Transparency in the TTIP Negotiations

Key Points from Presentation
* Trade negotiations have often been closed-door deals
* Transparency vs non-transparency of TTIP negotiations is an important issue
* EU Trade Commissioner has prioritized the transparency of TTIP negotiations
* The desire for transparency exists in both the U.S. and EU
* There are few studies that consider the role of transparency in negotiations
* David and coauthors are in the process of developing a political economy framework to model the effects of transparency in negotiations

Luis Ribera: Follow-up Presentation on the potential increase in trade between the US and Cuba.

Key Points from Presentation
* Trade and tourism are still forbidden (with exceptions)
* Business visas are attainable
* Cuba imports 70-80% of food needs: Cuban government plus new emerging companies allowed to purchase imports for tourism
* Exports, remittances, and tourism are the key sources of earnings for Cuba
* Cuban agricultural imports have increased but U.S. exports to Cuba have decreased since 2000
* Port of Mariel shows opportunities for trade with post-Panamex shipping capacity, and offers high wages for workers
* There are talks of moving to a single currency, private (tourist) restaurants are increasing in number

State Reports:

Lynn Kennedy: Lynn has served as interim department head for the past several months. Research products have included a USDA sugar outlook report with Steven Zahnhaiser at ERS. Lynn has also worked on the two Food Security volumes with Andrew and Troy Smitz. Lynn has also worked with Andy investigating the effects of technology adoption in sugar has affected production. Lynn and Amanda are starting work on an analysis of the evolution of the sugar beet and cane industry over time, given policy and efficiency changes. Lynn also has a PhD student who is finishing up research related to corruption and trade, e-commerce and trade, and internet adoption in countries and trade. He also has three MS students working on research related to trade diversion and expansion given TPP and TTIP passage. Lynn has also begun research considering forestry product trade.

Amanda (Leister) Countryman: Research continues to focus on the potential effects of potential trade policy, including the effects of an exclusionary TPP agreement on agriculture, the effects of TPP on Japanese beef import demand, the effects of TTIP on EU beef import demand. Additional research focuses on the potential poverty effects of the Special Safeguard Mechanism as well as the implications of tariff structure in the presence of the SSM in the World Trade Organization. Finally, she continues to work on issues related to transportation and trade, including the opening of arctic trade routes, as well as potential for invasive species transfer via cargo ships.

Osei Yeboah: North Carolina A&T State University- Osei has three MS students working on and AFRI grant that funds research related to the welfare impacts of country of origin labeling on beef, chicken and pork. Osei is also investing trade creation, trade diversion and market access impacts given implementation of TPP. His PhD student defended a dissertation last week on a project related to trade in Cambodia and the Philippines.

Luis Ribera: Brazilian PhD student working on infrastructure effects on productivity in Brazilian agriculture. He’s also researching water issues related to U.S. and Mexico allocations of surface water. Luis is also working on research related to the effects of U.S. domestic policy on international trade, the Russian import ban on western agricultural products, as well as changes in imports from Mexico into the U.S. given the new Mexican highway that decreases transportation costs of Mexican imports.

Shida Henneberry: Shida manages the Masters of Agriculture program at Oklahoma State Universtiy, which has 72 students. She also teaches trade related classes at OSU. She has worked on a research project through the State Department that trains African researchers. She’s working on a book on the effectiveness of study abroad. She has a project that considers the role of water in food security, and another project on estimating price transmission elasticities. Shida is also mentoring a Fulbright scholar from Pakistan who is working on food security.

Karen Lewis: Karen was hired by the University of Tennessee as a livestock economist, but her current research focus has been on sugar policy and trade. She is currently switching gears to work on livestock issues. Her portfolio includes experimental economics focusing on willingness to pay for hormone beef, and she is also working with colleagues on a distillers grain trade model.

David Bullock: University of Illinois: David hosted a visiting PhD student from Brazil who studied gravity models. He also has a paper with a PhD student on ethanol policy that will be published in JAFIO. Another former PhD student in Norway is working with David on research related to fertilizer. David worked with Norbert to organize the GMCC-15 subconference in Amsterdam. He received a grant from the EU (Jean Monet grant) to work on EU ag trade policy. He’s also the PI on a project with 28 researchers from 6 states to investigate the production and water quality effects of fertilization. He has also helped start the International Network of On Farm Precision Agriculture Research that includes 20 member institutions. The group is running fertilizer experiments together. David has also been working with colleagues on the effects of transparency in TTIP negotiations. He also has a pending publication on safe minimum standards. He’s working on a welfare analysis of the elimination of the beef hormone ban. Finally, he is going to teach a short course in Boku, Vienna on trade distortions.

Adjourn for the Day

Friday, March 27, 2015
Luis reconvened the meeting at 9:00 a.m. and we continued with the agenda.

Luis: Reviewed plans to hold the next S-1062 Project meetings in Charlotte, South Carolina in spring, 2016.

Adjourn

Respectfully submitted,
Amanda (Leister) Countryman

Accomplishments

Publications

Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 08/11/2016

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 05/12/2016 - 05/13/2016
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2015 - 06/15/2016

Participants

Andrew Schmitz University of Florida
Celeste De Matteis (graduate student) University of Tennessee
Karen Lewis University of Tennessee
David Bullock University of Illinois
Amanda (Leister) Countryman Colorado State University
Eric Young SAAESD
Ian Sheldon Ohio State University
Mary Marchant Virginia Tech University
Lynn Kennedy Louisiana State University
Jim Seale University of Florida

Brief Summary of Minutes

Minutes Attachment:

S-1062 2016 Spring Business Meetings Minutes _Savannah.docx

Accomplishments

Publications

Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 08/24/2017

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 10/27/2016 - 10/28/2016
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2015 - 09/30/2016

Participants

Brief Summary of Minutes

Minutes Attachment:

S-1062 2016 Fall Business Meetings Minutes_ Fort Collins.docx

Accomplishments

Publications

Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 10/16/2017

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 10/09/2017 - 10/10/2017
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2016 - 09/30/2017

Participants

Flynn Adcock Texas A&M
Kwan Choi Iowa State University
Amanda Countryman Colorado State University
Alvaro Durand University of Arkansas
Mariah Ehmke University of Wyoming
Paul Gallagher Iowa State University
Shida Henneberry Oklahoma State University
Lynn Kennedy Louisiana State University
Karen DeLong University of Tennessee
Mary Marchant Virginia Tech
Michael Reed University of Kentucky
Luis Ribera Texas A&M
Andy Schmitz University of Florida
Troy Schmitz Arizona State University
Saleem Shaik North Dakota State University
Jarrett Whistance University of Missouri
Osei Yeboah North Carolina State University (AMT)
Eric Young State Ag Experiment Station Directors
Sara Delheimer Multistate Research Program, Impact Writer

Brief Summary of Minutes

Minutes Attachment:

S1062 Meeting Minutes Fall 2017 Nasvhille.docx

Accomplishments

See project members' publication list.

Publications

<ol> <li>Brink, Lars, David Orden and Giselle Datz. 2017. “BRIC Agricultural Policies through a WTO Lens” reprinted in Agriculture, Development, and the Global Trading System: 2000-2015 (Antoine Bouet and David Laborde, editors). Washington DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (article originally published in Journal of Agricultural Economics 64:1 (2013):197-216).</li> </ol> <ol start="2"> <li>Countryman, A. M., and B. Narayanan. 2017. “Price Volatility Effects of the Special Safeguard Mechanism in the Presence of Specific Tariffs.” Economic Modelling, (64): 399-408. (2016 IF:1.481)</li> </ol> <ol start="3"> <li>Countryman, A.M., and A. Muhammad. 2017. “The Effects of TTIP Market Access Reform on EU Consumer Demand for Beef.” Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization, 15(1): 10 pages.</li> </ol> <ol start="4"> <li>Countryman, A.M. and A. Hagerman, 2017. “Retrospective Economic Analysis of Foot and Mouth Disease</li> <li>Eradication in the Latin American Beef Sector.” Agribusiness: An International Journal, (33)3: 257-273. (2016 IF: 0.939)</li> <li>Countryman, A.M. 2016. “The Food Safety Modernization Act and Agricultural Imports.” Choices, 1st quarter.</li> </ol> <ol start="7"> <li>Countryman, A.M., J. Francois, and H. Rojas-Romagosa. 2016. “Melting Ice Caps: Implications for Asia-North America Linkages and the Panama Canal.” Journal of International Trade and Global Markets, 9(4): 325-369.</li> </ol> <ol start="8"> <li>Countryman, A.M., J.G. Lee and P.L. Paarlberg. 2016. “Dynamic Effects of Drought on the U.S. Beef Supply</li> <li>” Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 45(3): 459-484.</li> </ol> <ol start="10"> <li>C.K. Chow, W. McGuire and I.M. Sheldon, “A Legal and Economic Critique of President</li> <li>Trump’s China Trade Policies,” Pittsburgh University Law Review (forthcoming).</li> </ol> <ol start="12"> <li>Debnath, D., W. Thompson, M. Helmar, and T. Orman. “Effect of the Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP) on Cotton Markets of Turkey and the World.” Journal of Cotton Science 20: 46-55. 2016.</li> </ol> <ol start="13"> <li>Debnath, D., J. Whistance, W. Thompson, and J. Binfield. 2017. Complement or Substitute: Ethanol’s Uncertain Relationship with Gasoline under Alternative Petroleum Price and Policy Scenarios. Applied Energy, 191, 385-397.</li> </ol> <ol start="14"> <li>DeLong, K. L. and C. Grebitus. In Press. “Genetically Modified Labeling: The Role of Consumers’ Trust and Personality.” Agribusiness: an International Journal. <a href="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/agr.21521/full">(Link)</a></li> </ol> <ol start="15"> <li>Enghiad*, A., D. Ufer*, A. M. Countryman, and D. D. Thilmany. 2017. “An Overview of Global Wheat Market Fundamentals in an Era of Climate Concerns.” International Journal of Agronomy, (2017): 15 pages.</li> </ol> <ol start="16"> <li>Garcia-Fuentes, P.A., P.L. Kennedy, and G.F.C. Ferreira. (2016). "U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Case of Remittances and Market Size." Applied Economics, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170931</li> </ol> <ol start="17"> <li>Grant, J.H., E. Peterson, and K.K. Klein. 2017. “Assessing the Economic Implications of Reduced Water Availability and Better Management Practices on Representative Farms in Southern Alberta," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65(2): 189-217.</li> </ol> <ol start="18"> <li>Grant, J.H. 2017 Forthcoming. "Proliferating Regionalism: Implications for Agriculture and Food Trade," Forthcoming in Handbook of Agricultural Economics Volume III: International Trade Rules for Food and Agricultural Products, Josling (eds).</li> </ol> <ol start="19"> <li>Hanson, J., M.A. Marchant, F. Tuan, and A. Somwaru. 2017. “U.S. Agricultural Exports to China Increased Rapidly Making China the Number One Market.” Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/us-agricultural-exports-to-china-increased-rapidly-making-china-the-number-one-market">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/us-agricultural-exports-to-china-increased-rapidly-making-china-the-number-one-market</a></li> </ol> <ol start="20"> <li>Hejazi, M.* and M.A. Marchant. 2017. “China’s Evolving Agricultural Support Policies.” Choices. Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/chinas-evolving-agricultural-support-policies">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/chinas-evolving-agricultural-support-policies</a></li> </ol> <ol start="21"> <li>Hejazi, Mina,* Jue Zhu* and Mary Marchant. 2017. “The Impact of Diversifying China’s Global Agri-Food Suppliers on U.S. Exports: A Case Study of China’s Meat Import Demand.” Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the 2017 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meeting, Chicago, IL. July 30-August 1, 2017. On web:  <a href="http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/259197?ln=en">http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/259197?ln=en</a></li> </ol> <ol start="22"> <li>Hejazi, M,* J.H. Grant and E. Peterson. 2017. “Tariff Changes and the Margins of Trade: A Case Study of US Agri-Food Imports,” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 42(1): 68-89.</li> </ol> <ol start="23"> <li>Hejazi, M,* J.H. Grant and E. Peterson. 2017. “Evaluating the Stringency of Maximum Residue Limits: US Exports of Fruits and Vegetables to the EU and TPP Markets" Center for Agricultural Trade Working Paper CAT- 2017-02, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Tech, July 2017.</li> </ol> <ol start="24"> <li>Hoang, H. “Analysis of food demand in Vietnam and impacts of short-term market shocks on quantity and calorie consumption.” Accepted for publication at Agricultural Economics. May, 2017.</li> </ol> <ol start="25"> <li>Kennedy, P.L., K.E. Lewis, and A. Schmitz. 2017. “Food Security through Biotechnology: The Case of Genetically Modified Sugar Beets in the United States.” In World Agricultural Resources and Food Security, Schmitz, A., P.L.</li> </ol> <ol start="26"> <li>Kennedy, T.G. Schmitz (Eds.), Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.</li> </ol> <ol start="27"> <li>Kennedy, P.L., K. Lewis, and A. Schmitz, (2016), “Food Security through Biotechnology: The Double-Edged Sword of GM Crops” in World Agricultural Resources and Food Security, Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Eds.), Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Forthcoming.</li> </ol> <ol start="28"> <li>Kim, M., H.A., Tejeda and E. Yu. In Press. “Dynamic and Spatial Relationships in US Milled Rice Markets.” International Food and Agribusiness Management Review.</li> </ol> <ol start="29"> <li>Lewis, K.E., C. Grebitus, G. Colson, and W. Hu. 2017. “German and British Consumer Willingness to Pay for Beef Labeled with Food Safety Attributes.” Journal of Agricultural Economics, 68(2):451-470.</li> <li>Mach, J and S.R. Thompson, “The EU dairy Market after the Milk Quota Abolition,” Agrarian Perspectives (forthcoming).</li> </ol> <ol start="31"> <li>Marchant, M.A. 2017. “Theme Overview: U.S. Commodity Markets Respond to Changes in China's Ag Policies.” Choices. Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/theme-overview-us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/theme-overview-us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies</a></li> </ol> <ol start="32"> <li>Orden, D., L. Brink, and M. Hejazi.* 2017. "The WTO Dispute on China’s Agricultural Support." Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/the-wto-dispute-on-chinas-agricultural-supports">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/the-wto-dispute-on-chinas-agricultural-supports</a></li> </ol> <ol start="33"> <li>Peterson, E. and J.H. Grant. 2017 Forthcoming. “Survival of the Fittest: Export Duration and Failure into United States Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Markets,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics. </li> </ol> <ol start="34"> <li>Peterson, E.B. and J.H. Grant. 2017. “Assessing the Impact of BSE Outbreak in US and Canada Using Historical Simulations.” Center for Agricultural Trade Working Paper CAT- 2017-01, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Tech, July 2017.</li> </ol> <ol start="35"> <li>Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Editors), (2016). World Agricultural Resources and Food Security. Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.</li> </ol> <ol start="36"> <li>Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Editors), (2016). Food Security in a Food Abundant World: An Individual Country Perspective. Volume 16, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.</li> </ol> <ol start="37"> <li>Schmitz, A., P.L. Kennedy, and M. Salassi, (2016), “Sugarcane Yield and Production: Florida and Louisiana” in World Agricultural Resources and Food Security, Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Eds.), Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Forthcoming.</li> </ol> <ol start="38"> <li>Schmitz, A., and P.L. Kennedy (2016), “Food Security and the Role of Food Storage” in Food Security in a Food Abundant World: An Individual Country Perspective, Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Eds.). Volume 16, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.</li> </ol> <ol start="39"> <li>Schroeder, K. and Meyers, W. H. 2016. “Credit and Finance Issues in the Eurasian Wheat Belt.” Book chapter in Gomez y Paloma, S., Mary, S., Langrell, S., and Ciaian, P., eds., The Role of the Eurasian Wheat Belt to Regional and Global Food Security. September 2016.</li> </ol> <ol start="40"> <li>Seok, Jun Ho, Michael Reed, and Sayed Saghaian. “The Impact of SQF Certification on U.S. Agri-Food Exports.” International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics  4 (2016): 1-16.</li> </ol> <ol start="41"> <li>Sujarwo, Michael Reed, and Sayed Saghaian. “Changing Technical, Allocative, and Economic Production Efficiency of Small-Scale Farmers in Indonesia: The Case of Shallot Production.”   Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development 10 (2016): 31-52.</li> </ol> <ol start="42"> <li>Syrengelas, K.G., K.L. DeLong, C. Grebitus, R. M. Nayga, Jr. In Press. “Is the Natural Label Misleading? Examining Consumer Preferences for Natural Beef.” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy.</li> </ol> <ol start="43"> <li>Westhoff P., and W. Thompson. “Four Indicators that Explain World Grain and Oilseed Market Developments.” Agribusiness. 2017.</li> </ol> <ol start="44"> <li>Whistance, J., S. Meyer, and W. Thompson. “Interactions between California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard and the National Renewable Fuel Standard.” Energy Policy 101: 447-455. 2017.</li> </ol> <ol start="45"> <li>Yoonho Choi and E. Kwan Choi. “International Trade in Branded and Generic Products”, forthcoming in the World Economy.</li> <li>Yoonho Choi and E. Kwan Choi “Currency Devaluation and Unemployment in an Open Economy” forthcoming in Economic Modelling.</li> </ol> <ol start="47"> <li>Zhao, J., J.I. Miller, and W. Thompson. “Modeling and Extrapolating Wheat Producer Support Using Income and Other Factors.” Journal of Agricultural Economics. Forthcoming, 2017.</li> </ol> <ol start="48"> <li>Zulauf, Carl and David Orden. “80 Years of Farm Bills,” Choices, Quarter 4, 2016.</li> </ol>

Impact Statements

4. Project members Jared Whistance (University of Missouri), Wyatt Thompson (University of Missouri), and William Meyers (University of Missouri) have made impacts by running baseline commodity models. This impact assists policy makers and economists predict commodity supply. For example, FAPRI-MU and collaborators develop multi-year projections of main agricultural commodity and biofuel markets. These projections span selected international markets, including for grains, oilseeds, and biofuels, as well as US trade. o Baseline projection schedule has changed relative to past years : o January 2017 deterministic projections with 10-year outlook for agricultural commodity and biofuel markets that represents conditions in the U.S. and other major producing and consuming countries o March 2017 stochastic projections with 10-year outlook based on 500 Monte Carlo simulations, focused on biofuel and agricultural commodity markets of the U.S., including trade o August 2014 5-year deterministic projections using latest data, including new crop area and yield estimates, for agricultural commodity and biofuel markets that represents conditions in the U.S. and other major producing and consuming countries

Date of Annual Report: 07/05/2018

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 05/21/2018 - 05/22/2018
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2017 - 09/30/2018

Participants

Participant Affiliation
Karen DeLong Univ. of Tennesse
Alvaro Durand-Morat Univ. of Arkansas
Lynn Kennedy LSU
Andrew Muhammad Univ. of Tennesse
Tom Wahl North Dakota State University
Alejandra Breva Ferrari LSU
Trina Biswas LSU
Luis Ribera Texas A&M
Andy Schmitz Univ. of Florida
Ian Sheldon Ohio State Univ.
Jarrett Whistance Univ. of Missouri
Osei Yeboah North Carolina A&T Univ.
Jim Seale Univ. of Florida
Troy Schmitz Arizona State Univ.
Eric Young State Ag Experiment Station Directors

Brief Summary of Minutes

Minutes Attachment:

S1062 Meeting Minutes Spring 2018.docx

Accomplishments

See Impact Statements

Publications

Brink, Lars, David Orden and Giselle Datz. 2017. “BRIC Agricultural Policies through a WTO Lens” reprinted in Agriculture, Development, and the Global Trading System: 2000-2015 (Antoine Bouet and David Laborde, editors). Washington DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (article originally published in Journal of Agricultural Economics 64:1 (2013):197-216).   Countryman, A. M., and B. Narayanan. 2017. “Price Volatility Effects of the Special Safeguard Mechanism in the Presence of Specific Tariffs.” Economic Modelling, (64): 399-408. (2016 IF:1.481)   Countryman, A.M., and A. Muhammad. 2017. “The Effects of TTIP Market Access Reform on EU Consumer Demand for Beef.” Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization, 15(1): 10 pages.   Countryman, A.M., and A. Muhammad. 2018. “Chinese Trade Retaliation May Diminish U.S. Wine Export Potential.” Choices. Quarter 2. Available online: http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-china-trade-dispute-and-potential-impacts-to-agriculture/chinese-trade-retaliation-may-diminish-us-wine-export-potential   Countryman, A.M. and A. Hagerman, 2017. “Retrospective Economic Analysis of Foot and Mouth Disease Eradication in the Latin American Beef Sector.” Agribusiness: An International Journal, (33)3: 257-273. (2016 IF: 0.939)   Countryman, A.M. 2016. “The Food Safety Modernization Act and Agricultural Imports.” Choices, 1st quarter.   Countryman, A.M., J. Francois, and H. Rojas-Romagosa. 2016. “Melting Ice Caps: Implications for Asia-North America Linkages and the Panama Canal.” Journal of International Trade and Global Markets, 9(4): 325-369.   Countryman, A.M., J.G. Lee and P.L. Paarlberg. 2016. “Dynamic Effects of Drought on the U.S. Beef Supply” Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 45(3): 459-484..   Countryman, A.M. 2017. “Adopting Teaching Strategies to Accommodate Different Learning Styles.” North American Colleges and Teachers of Agriculture Journal, forthcoming. (Editor Reviewed).   Chow, D.C.K., W. McGuire and I.M. Sheldon, “A Legal and Economic Critique of President Trump’s China Trade Policies,” Pittsburgh University Law Review (forthcoming 2018).   Debnath, D., W. Thompson, M. Helmar, and T. Orman. “Effect of the Southeastern Anatolia Project (GAP) on Cotton Markets of Turkey and the World.” Journal of Cotton Science 20: 46-55. 2016.   Debnath, D., J. Whistance, W. Thompson, and J. Binfield. 2017. Complement or Substitute: Ethanol’s Uncertain Relationship with Gasoline under Alternative Petroleum Price and Policy Scenarios. Applied Energy, 191, 385-397.   Debnath, D., Binfield J., Whistance J., Westhoff P., Thompson W. “International Biofuels Baseline Briefing Book.” FAPRI-MU Report #02-17, University of Missouri, MO. May 30, 2016.   Debnath, D., J. Whistance, and W. Thompson. “The Causes of Two-Way U.S.-Brazil Ethanol Trade and the Consequences for Greenhouse Gas Emissions.” Selected paper presented at 2016 Agricultural & Applied Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meeting, Boston MA, July 31-August 2, 2016.   DeLong, K. L. and C. Grebitus. In Press. “Genetically Modified Labeling: The Role of Consumers’ Trust and Personality.” Agribusiness: an International Journal. <a href="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/agr.21521/full">(Link)</a>   De Matteis, M.C., T.E. Yu, C.N. Boyer, K.L. DeLong, J. Smith. “Economic and Environmental Implications of Incorporating Distillers’ Dried Grains with Solubles in Feed Rations of Growing and Finishing Swine in Argentina.” International Food and Agribusiness Management Review. Accepted and In Press. Enghiad*, A., D. Ufer*, A. M. Countryman, and D. D. Thilmany. 2017. “An Overview of Global Wheat Market Fundamentals in an Era of Climate Concerns.” International Journal of Agronomy, (2017): 15 pages.   Eum,J., I. M. Sheldon and S. Thompson. “Asymmetric Trade Costs: Agricultural Trade among Developing and Developed Countries,” Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization (forthcoming 2018).   Eum, J., I. M. Sheldon and S. Thompson, “Upgrading Food Product Quality: The Impact of Tariffs and Standards,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics (in review).   Eum, J. and I.M. Sheldon, “Trade liberalization and Endogenous Quality Choice in Food and Agricultural Trade,” AAEA Annual Conference, Chicago, IL, August 2017.   Eum, J. and I. M. Sheldon, “Asymmetric Trade Costs: Agricultural Trade among Developing and Developed Countries,” IATRC Annual Meeting, Washington DC, December 2017.   Eum, J., I. M. Sheldon and S. Thompson, “Upgrading Food Product Quality: The Impact of Tariffs and Standards,” Working Paper, Andersons Program in International Trade, August 2017.   Garcia-Fuentes, P.A., P.L. Kennedy, and G.F.C. Ferreira. (2016). "U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Case of Remittances and Market Size." Applied Economics, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170931   Grant, J.H., E. Peterson, and K.K. Klein. 2017. “Assessing the Economic Implications of Reduced Water Availability and Better Management Practices on Representative Farms in Southern Alberta," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65(2): 189-217.   Grant, J.H. 2017 Forthcoming. "Proliferating Regionalism: Implications for Agriculture and Food Trade," Forthcoming in Handbook of Agricultural Economics Volume III: International Trade Rules for Food and Agricultural Products, Josling (eds).   Grant, J. (2017). “Center for Agricultural Trade.” Progress report to the funder:  Virginia Tech’s Institute for Society, Culture and Environment (ISCE).   Hanson, J., M.A. Marchant, F. Tuan, and A. Somwaru. 2017. “U.S. Agricultural Exports to China Increased Rapidly Making China the Number One Market.” Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/us-agricultural-exports-to-china-increased-rapidly-making-china-the-number-one-market">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/us-agricultural-exports-to-china-increased-rapidly-making-china-the-number-one-market</a>   Hansen, J., M.A. Marchant, W. Zhang, and J. Grant. 2018. “Upheaval in China’s Imports of U.S. Sorghum.” Choices. Quarter 2. Available online: http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-china-trade-dispute-and-potential-impacts-to-agriculture/upheaval-in-chinas-imports-of-us-sorghum   Heerman, K.E.R. and I.M. Sheldon, “Gravity and Comparative Advantage: Estimation of Trade Elasticities for the Agricultural Sector,” Working Paper, Andersons Program in International Trade, November 2017. 2   Hejazi, M.* and M.A. Marchant. 2017. “China’s Evolving Agricultural Support Policies.” Choices. Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/chinas-evolving-agricultural-support-policies">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/chinas-evolving-agricultural-support-policies</a>   Hejazi, Mina,* Jue Zhu* and Mary Marchant. 2017. “The Impact of Diversifying China’s Global Agri-Food Suppliers on U.S. Exports: A Case Study of China’s Meat Import Demand.” Selected Paper prepared for presentation at the 2017 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meeting, Chicago, IL. July 30-August 1, 2017. On web:  <a href="http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/259197?ln=en">http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/259197?ln=en</a>   Hejazi, M,* J.H. Grant and E. Peterson. 2017. “Tariff Changes and the Margins of Trade: A Case Study of US Agri-Food Imports,” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 42(1): 68-89.   Hejazi, M,* J.H. Grant and E. Peterson. 2017. “Evaluating the Stringency of Maximum Residue Limits: US Exports of Fruits and Vegetables to the EU and TPP Markets" Center for Agricultural Trade Working Paper CAT- 2017-02, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Tech, July 2017.   Hoang, H. “Analysis of food demand in Vietnam and impacts of short-term market shocks on quantity and calorie consumption.” Accepted for publication at Agricultural Economics. May, 2017.   Kennedy, P.L., K.E. Lewis, and A. Schmitz. 2017. “Food Security through Biotechnology: The Case of Genetically Modified Sugar Beets in the United States.” In World Agricultural Resources and Food Security, Schmitz, A., P.L.   Kennedy, T.G. Schmitz (Eds.), Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.   Kennedy, P.L., K. Lewis, and A. Schmitz, (2016), “Food Security through Biotechnology: The Double-Edged Sword of GM Crops” in World Agricultural Resources and Food Security, Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Eds.), Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Forthcoming.   Kennedy, P.L., and B. Lambert. “Changing Course: Economic Implications of Lower Mississippi River Avulsion,” Paper presented at the 2016 Center for Natural Resource Economics and Policy (CNREP) Conference, New Orleans, LA, May 20-22, 2016.   Kennedy, P.L., and B. Lambert. “Implications of an Avulsion of the Mississippi River for Agricultural Trade,” Paper presented at the Conference Freight in the Southeast, 2016: Moving Our Region’s Business, New Orleans, LA, April 11-12, 2016.   Kim, M., H.A., Tejeda and T.E. Yu. 2017. “Dynamic and Spatial Relationships in US Milled Rice Markets.” International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 20(5):623-636.    Klaiber, H. A., K. Salhofer and S.R. Thompson. “Capitalization of the SPS into Agricultural Land Rental Prices under the Harmonization of Payments,” Journal of Agricultural Economics, 68(2017): 710-726.   Lewis, K.E., C. Grebitus, G. Colson, and W. Hu. 2017. “German and British Consumer Willingness to Pay for Beef Labeled with Food Safety Attributes.” Journal of Agricultural Economics, 68(2):451-470.   Lewis, K. E. and C. Grebitus. 2016. “Why U.S. Consumers Support Country of Origin Labeling: Examining the Impact of Ethnocentrism and Food Safety.” Journal of International Food & Agribusiness Marketing. Accepted   Lewis, K.E. and T. G. Schmitz. 2015. “The Impact of Partial Mexican Government Ownership on U.S. and Mexican Sugar Trade.” Journal of Agribusiness, 33(1): 17-38.   Schmitz, T. G. and K.E. Lewis. 2015. “Impact of NAFTA on U.S. and Mexican Sugar Markets.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 40(3):387-404.   Lewis, K.E. , C. Grebitus, and R. Nayga. Forthcoming. “U.S. Consumer Preferences for Imported and Genetically Modified Sugar: Examining Policy Consequentiality in a Choice Experiment.” Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics.   Mach, J., P. Hoskova and S. R. Thompson. “Changes in the EU Dairy Market after Milk Quota Abolition,” Agrarian Perspectives, 26 (2017):205-2011.   Marchant, M.A. 2017. “Theme Overview: U.S. Commodity Markets Respond to Changes in China's Ag Policies.” Choices. Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/theme-overview-us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/theme-overview-us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies</a>   Marchant, M. A. (June 2017). “Expanding U.S. Market Access in China's Evolving Agricultural and Trade Policy Environment.” Agriculture and Food Research Initiative (AFRI) grant.  Annual progress report to the funder:  U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, National Institute of Food & Agriculture (USDA-NIFA) (Accession #1002853). Retrieved from <a href="http://portal.nifa.usda.gov/">http://portal.nifa.usda.gov/</a>   Marchant, M.A. and J. Grant (January 2017). “The Importance of U.S. Food and Agricultural Trade in a New Global Market Environment” S-1062 Multi-State Research Project.  Annual progress report to the funder:  U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, National Institute of Food and Agriculture (USDA-NIFA). Retrieved from <a href="http://portal.nifa.usda.gov/">http://portal.nifa.usda.gov/</a>   Marchant, M. A. (July 2017). “The Impact of Diversifying China's Global Agri-Food Suppliers on U.S. Exports” grant.  Progress report to the funder:  Virginia Tech’s Institute for Society, Culture and Environment (ISCE).   McLeod, E., K. Jensen, A.P. Griffith, K.L. DeLong. “Tennessee Beef Producers' Willingness to Participate in a State Branded Beef Program.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics. Accepted and In Press.   Merritt, M.G., K.L. DeLong, A.P. Griffith, K.L. Jensen. 2018. “Consumer Willingness to Pay for Tennessee Certified Beef.” Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 50(2):233-254. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/aae.2017.35">(Link)</a>   Meyers W. “Global Trends in Agriculture and Rural Development: a European and Eurasian Perspective.” Keynote presentation, Agrarian Perspectives XXV Conference, Czech University of Life Sciences. 14-15 September 2016.   Meyers, W.”FAPRI Agricultural commodity outlook: What is driving these changes?” Presented at UN DESA Expert Group Meeting on the World Economy. Toronto, October 19-21, 2016.   Meyers, W. and K. Schroeder. “Commodity Markets and Trade to 2025: What Is Driving These Changes?” Paper presented on September 21, 2016 at the 155th EAAE Seminar, Kyiv, Ukraine.   Muhammad, A., A. Countryman, and K. Heerman. 2018. “Effects of Tariff Concessions on Japanese Beef Imports by Product and Source.” Agricultural and Resource Economics Review. doi:10.1017/age.2017.20.   Muhammad, A., A. D’Souza, B. Meade, R. Micha, and D. Mozaffarian. 2017. “How Income and Food Prices Influence Global Dietary Intakes by Age and Sex: Evidence from 164 Countries” BMJ Global Health 2:e000184. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2016-000184.   Muhammad, A. and S.A. Smith. 2018. Evaluating the Impact of Retaliatory Tariffs on U.S. Soybeans in China. UT Extension Publication W 532.   Smith, S.A., A. Muhammad, and A.P. Griffith. 2018. A Summary of Changes to Seed Cotton and the Dairy Margin Protection Program as a Result of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018. UT Extension Publication W 482.   Orden, D., L. Brink, and M. Hejazi.* 2017. "The WTO Dispute on China’s Agricultural Support." Quarter 2. Available online: <a href="http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/the-wto-dispute-on-chinas-agricultural-supports">http://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/theme-articles/us-commodity-markets-respond-to-changes-in-chinas-ag-policies/the-wto-dispute-on-chinas-agricultural-supports</a>   Peterson, E. and J.H. Grant. 2017 Forthcoming. “Survival of the Fittest: Export Duration and Failure into United States Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Markets,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics.   Peterson, E.B. and J.H. Grant. 2017. “Assessing the Impact of BSE Outbreak in US and Canada Using Historical Simulations.” Center for Agricultural Trade Working Paper CAT- 2017-01, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Tech, July 2017.   Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Editors), (2016). World Agricultural Resources and Food Security. Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.   Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Editors), (2016). Food Security in a Food Abundant World: An Individual Country Perspective. Volume 16, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.   Schmitz, A., P.L. Kennedy, and M. Salassi, (2016), “Sugarcane Yield and Production: Florida and Louisiana” in World Agricultural Resources and Food Security, Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Eds.), Volume 17, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Forthcoming. Schmitz, A., and P.L. Kennedy (2016), “Food Security and the Role of Food Storage” in Food Security in a Food Abundant World: An Individual Country Perspective, Schmitz, A., Kennedy, P.L., Schmitz, T.G. (Eds.). Volume 16, Frontiers of Economics and Globalization. Bingley, UK: Emerald Group Publishing Limited.   Schmitz, A. and I.M. Sheldon, “International Agricultural Trade: A Road Map”, in Handbook of Agricultural Economics. Eds. G. L. Cramer, K.P. Pudell, and A. Schmitz. Routledge, forthcoming (2018).   Schroeder, K. and Meyers, W. H. 2016. “Credit and Finance Issues in the Eurasian Wheat Belt.” Book chapter in Gomez y Paloma, S., Mary, S., Langrell, S., and Ciaian, P., eds., The Role of the Eurasian Wheat Belt to Regional and Global Food Security. September 2016.   Seok, Jun Ho, Michael Reed, and Sayed Saghaian. “The Impact of SQF Certification on U.S. Agri-Food Exports.” International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics  4 (2016): 1-16.   Sheldon, I.M. “Eco-Labeling and the Gains from Agricultural and Food Trade: A Ricardian Approach”, Invited Seminar, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, April 2017.   Sheldon, I.M. “Agricultural Trade and the Environment: What Does a Ricardian Approach Offer?” Invited Speaker, EAAE Symposium on “Non-Trade Concerns in Agriculture”, AAEA Annual Conference, Chicago, IL, August 2017.   Sheldon, I.M. “Economic and Legal Analysis of Climate Policy and Border Tax Adjustments: Federal vs. State Regulation” Ohio State Law Journal Symposium, “Re-Thinking State Relevance”, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, November 2017.   Sheldon, I.M. “Why China’s soybean tariffs matter”, The Conversation, April 5, 2018. Sheldon, I.M., D.C.K. Chow, and W. McGuire, “Trade Liberalization and Institutional Constraints on Moves to Protectionism: Multilateralism vs. Regionalism”, in invited paper session, “Trade in an Environment of Increasing Economic Nationalism”, AAEA/ASSA Meetings, Philadelphia, PA, January 2018.   Sheldon, I.M. “Trump’s exports good, imports-bad trade policy, debunked by an economist”, The Conversation, April 20, 2018.   Sheldon, I.M. “Economic and Legal Analysis of Climate Policy and Border Tax Adjustments: Federal vs. State Regulation,” Ohio State University Law Review (forthcoming 2018).   Sheldon, I.M., D.C.K. Chow and W. McGuire. “The Revival of Economic Nationalism and the Global Trading System,” Cardozo Law Review (forthcoming 2019).   Sheldon, I.M., D.C.K. Chow, and W. McGuire, “Trade Liberalization and Institutional Constraints on Moves to Protectionism: Multilateralism vs. Regionalism,” Working Paper, Andersons Program in International Trade, December 2017.   Sheldon, I.M., Invited Panelist, “Trade and Labor”, Spring COMPAS Conference, “On Global Inequality”, Center for Human Ethics and Human Values, Ohio State University, March 2017.   Sheldon, I.M., Invited Speaker, Columbus History Club, “The vote for Brexit: Did anybody actually think through the economic consequences?” Columbus, Ohio, March 2017.   Sheldon, I.M., “Eco-Labeling and the Gains from Agricultural and Food Trade: A Ricardian Approach”, Invited Seminar, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, April 2017.   Sheldon, I.M., “Agricultural Trade and the Environment: What Does a Ricardian Approach Offer?” Invited Speaker, EAAE Symposium on “Non-Trade Concerns in Agriculture”, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Annual Conference, Chicago, Illinois, August 2017.   Sheldon, I.M., “Trade Agreements: How they Affect Agriculture.” Ask the Expert Interview with David Marrison, OSU Farm Science Review, London, Ohio, September 2017.   Soon B. and W. Thompson. “Estimating Import Demand Functions in Major Beef Importing Countries by Bayesian Hierarchical Linear Model.” Paper presented at Agricultural & Applied Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meeting, Boston MA, July 31-August 2, 2016.   Soon B. and W. Thompson. “Measuring Non-Tariff Barriers by Combining Cointegration Tests and Simulation Models with an Application to Russian Chicken Imports.” Paper presented at Agricultural & Applied Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meeting, Boston MA, July 31-August 2, 2016.   Soon, B., P. Westhoff, and W. Thompson. "The impact of TRQs on Korean rice market." Presented at International Agriculture Trade Research Consortium winter 2016 meeting, Scottsdale, AZ, December 11-13, 2016.   Sujarwo, Michael Reed, and Sayed Saghaian. “Changing Technical, Allocative, and Economic Production Efficiency of Small-Scale Farmers in Indonesia: The Case of Shallot Production.”   Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development 10 (2016): 31-52.   Syrengelas, K.G., K.L. DeLong, C. Grebitus, R. M. Nayga, Jr. “Is the Natural Label Misleading? Examining Consumer Preferences for Natural Beef.” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy. Accepted and In Press. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/aepp/ppx042">(Link)</a>   Thompson, Wyatt, Scott Gerlt, J. Elliott Campbell, Lara M. Kueppers, Yaqiong Lu, and Mark A. Snyder. “A Cost of Tractability? Estimating Climate Change Impacts Using a Single Crop Market Understates Impacts on Market Conditions and Variability.” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 39(2): 346–362. 2017.   Westhoff P., and W. Thompson. “Four Indicators that Explain World Grain and Oilseed Market Developments.” Agribusiness. 2017.   Westhoff, P. The State of the Farm Economy: Some Big-Picture Considerations. Testimony at a hearing of the U.S. House Committee on Agriculture. Washington, DC. February 15, 2017   Westhoff, P. “The global food market.” Stage interview at the Wall Street Journal global food forum. New York, NY. October 6, 2016.   Westhoff, P. “FAPRI, Models and Using Models to Evaluate Policies.” Cochran group from Nigeria, Kenya and Tanzania, Columbia, MO, September 13, 2016.   Westhoff, P. “Farm Bill: Context, Content and Consequences.” Remarks at symposium at Agricultural & Applied Economics Association (AAEA) Annual Meeting, Boston MA, July 31-August 2, 2016.   Westhoff P., S. Gerlt, Whistance J., Binfield J., Chiuchiarelli S., Debnath D., Hoang H., Schroeder K., Thompson W., Brown S., & Madison D. U.S. Baseline Briefing Book. FAPRI-MU. March 2017.   Westhoff, P., S. Gerlt and K. Schroeder. “Baseline update for U.S. farm income and government outlays.” FAPRI-MU report 06-16. Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute at the University of Missouri, October 3, 2016.   Westhoff et al. 2016. “Agricultural Commodity Price Impacts of Federal Reserve Stress Test Scenarios.” FAPRI-MU Report #04-16. August 2016.   Westhoff et al. 2016. “Baseline Update for Agricultural Markets.” FAPRI-MU Report #05-16. August 2016.    Whistance, J., S. Meyer, and W. Thompson. “Interactions between California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard and the National Renewable Fuel Standard.” Energy Policy 101: 447-455. 2017.   Whistance, J., D. Ripplinger, and W. Thompson. “Biofuel-Related Price Transmission Using Renewable Identification Number Prices to Signal Mandate Regime.” Energy Economics 55: 19–29. 2016.   Whistance, J. and W. Thompson. “Just passing through: RIN Prices and the potential for E85 expansion.” Presented at International Agriculture Trade Research Consortium winter 2016 meeting, Scottsdale, AZ, December 11-13, 2016.   Whistance, J. and W. Thompson. 2016. “RIN Prices Still (Mis)Behaving?” FAPRI-MU Bulletin #04-16.   Yoonho Choi and E. Kwan Choi. “International Trade in Branded and Generic Products”, forthcoming in the World Economy.   Yoonho Choi and E. Kwan Choi “Currency Devaluation and Unemployment in an Open Economy” forthcoming in Economic Modelling.   Yu, T.E., B.C. English and R.J. Menard. 2016. Economic Impacts Analysis of Inland Waterways Disruption on the Transport of Corn and Soybeans. Staff Report #AE16-08. Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Tennessee.   Zahniser, S., P.L. Kennedy, G. Nigatu, and M. McConnell (2016). “A New Outlook for the U.S.-Mexico Sugar and Sweetener Market,” USDA Economic Research Service Outlook Report SSSM-335-01. Washington, DC, August 2016.    Zhao, J., J.I. Miller, and W. Thompson. “Modeling and Extrapolating Wheat Producer Support Using Income and Other Factors.” Journal of Agricultural Economics. Forthcoming, 2017.   Zhou,M., I.M. Sheldon and Eum, J, “The Role of Intellectual Property Rights in Seed Technology Transfer through Trade: Evidence from US Field Crop Seed Exports,” Agricultural Economics (forthcoming 2018).   Zulauf, Carl and David Orden. “80 Years of Farm Bills,” Choices, Quarter 4, 2016.

Impact Statements

• In addition to published articles, participants disseminated their research at regular meetings of the International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium and trade-specific sessions at other professional meetings. White papers and policy briefings make the information more accessible to the public, at large. More recently, some participants have begun seeking new ways to inform policy makers and the interested public. Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University) has published articles on academically rigorous, though freely available, websites such as The Conversation. His recent article, “Why China’s Soybean Tariffs Matter”, was viewed over 18,000 times in less than two months.