S1072: U.S. Agricultural Trade and Policy in An Uncertain Global Market Environment

(Multistate Research Project)

Status: Active

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SAES-422 Reports

02/08/2024

University: University of Tennessee-Knoxville


Reporting Participants: Karen DeLong


Accomplishments:


Project No. TEN00535 S1072


 


Members: T. Edward Yu, Karen DeLong, and Andrew Muhammad FY20 covers October 1, 2022 – September 30, 2023


Journal Articles



  1. Reed, C.2, E. Yu1, and D.W. Hughes. 2023. “Evaluating the factors influencing the location strategies of specialty grocers versus traditional supermarkets in the United States.” Applied Geography, 158, 103034. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2023.103034

  2. Martinez, , P. Li2, C.N. Boyer, T.E. Yu, and J. Maples. 2023. “Beef Price Spread Relationship with Processing Capacity Utilization.” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, 2(1):133-145.

  3. Marks, L.3, J. Thompson, S. Upendram, and T.E. Yu. 2022. “Global Animal Protein Trade Impacts of Large-scale Human Health Events.” Western Economics Forum, 20(2):36-49.

  4. Velandia, M., R. Denton, J. Yenerall, L. DeLong, C.J.O. Trejo-Pech, K. Tanaka, K. Rignall, X. Chen, S. Schexnayder. 2023. “Evaluating Factors Influencing Tennessee and Kentucky Farmers’ Willingness to Sell Produce Through Fresh Stop Markets.” Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 28(7): 1-9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1212764

  5. Muhammad, A., J. Yenerall, T. Malone, and L. DeLong. 2023. “Formula for Disaster: Exploring the Links Between Federal Policies and the Infant Formula Crisis.” Choices, 38(3):1-7. https://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/submitted-articles/formula- for-disaster-exploring-the-links-between-federal-policies-and-the-infant-formula-crisis

  6. Smith, 1, K.L. DeLong, A.P. Griffith, C. Boyer, C. Martinez, and K.L. Jensen. 2023. “Cow-Calf Producer Preferences for Bull Genomic-Enhanced Expected Progeny Differences.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 48(3): 520-539. https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.322848

  7. Gao, , C. Grebitus, and K.L. DeLong. 2023. “Chinese Consumers’ Preferences for Beef Quality Labeling.” European Review of Agricultural Economics, 50(3):1,064-1,102. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbad009

  8. DeLong, L., K.L. Jensen, C.N. Boyer, A.P. Griffith, and C. Martinez. 2023. “Feeder Cattle Genomic Tests: Analyzing Cattle Producer Adoption Decisions.” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, 2(2): 334-349. https://doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.61

  9. Trejo-Pech, C.J.O., L. DeLong, and R. Johansson. 2023. “How Does the Financial Performance of Sugar-Using Firms Compare to other Agribusinesses? An Accounting and


 


Economic Profit Rates Analysis.” Agricultural Finance Review, 83(3): 453:477. https://doi.org/10.1108/AFR-08-2022-0103



  1. Muhammad, , M. Prince., K.L. DeLong, and T Gill. 2023. “The Effects of Timing, Customer, and Location on Smallholder Broiler Sales in Rwanda.” Journal of Applied Poultry Research, 32(2): 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japr.2022.100268

  2. Muhammad, A, C Sicko, & TC Olsson (2023) “African Americans and Federal Land Policy: Exploring The Homestead Acts of 1862 and 1866” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy (In Press). http://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13401

  3. Muhammad, A, and Trejo-Pech (2023) “Uncovering the Impacts of Steel Tariffs on the Canned Foods Sector: Reevaluating Trade Policy Winners and Losers” Choices 38(4).

  4. Muhammad, A, C Martinez, & A Lawani (2023) “Why Are Eggs so Expensive? Understanding the Recent Spike in Egg Prices” Choices 38(2).

  5. Hirasuna, D, D Thilmany, A Muhammad, D Fields, & S Stefanou (2023) “Perspectives on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion in the Agricultural and Applied Economics Profession” Applied Economics Teaching Resources 5(2) doi:10.22004/ag.econ.333520.


 


 


University: University of Georgia


Reporting Participants: Gopinath Munisamy


Accomplishments:


2023 Progress Report - Multistate Hatch Project S1072


Georgia Report – Gopinath Munisamy


 


Journal Articles (*student coauthor)


Jeong*, S., M. Gopinath, A. Kulkarni* and F. Batarseh. 2023. “Deploying Machine Learning


Methods to Predict Global Trading Patterns: The Case of Beef.” Journal of the


American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers, forthcoming.


Poudel*, D., and M. Gopinath. 2023. “Regional Heterogeneity in Undernourishment: The


Case of Nepal. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging


Economies, forthcoming.


Khadka*, S., M. Gopinath and F. Batarseh. 2023. “Anomalies in Agricultural Trade: A


Bayesian Classifier Approach,” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics


Association, Volume 2, Issue 3: 402-427. https://doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.69.


Adhikari*, S., D. Poudel* and M. Gopinath. 2023. Is Policy Greasing the Wheels of Global


Palm Oil Trade,” Research on World Agricultural Economy, Volume 4, Issue 2, pp 62-77.


 


Presentations/media


Annual Meeting of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.


Adhikari, S., Poudel, D., and M. Gopinath. “Policy Effects on Global Palm Oil Trade: A Gravity Model Approach.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC.


Balaji, S.J., and M. Gopinath. “Spatial Growth and Convergence in Indian Agriculture.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC


Khanal, A., and M. Gopinath. “Impact of Fresh Blueberry Imports on Domestic Industry.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC


Khadka, S., and M. Gopinath. “Anomalies and Recoveries in Agricultural Trade” Selected Presentation, July 2022, Anaheim, CA.


Annual Meeting of the International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium


Khadka, S., M. Gopinath and F. Batarseh. “Shifting Alliances – Friendshoring in Agricultural Trade.” December 2023, Clearwater Beach, FL.


Poudel, D., and M. Gopinath. “Political Instability and Undernourishment: Nepal’s


Decade-Long Insurgency.” December 2023, Clearwater Beach, FL.


Interviewed for “From Georgia to the World.” Georgia Trend, July 2023: https://www.georgiatrend.com/2023/06/27/from-georgia-to-the-world/


 


University: University of Florida


Reporting Participants: Andrew Schmitz


 


Author of the book "Agricultural Policy, Agribusiness, and Rent-Seeking Behaviour."


By Andrew Schmitz, Charles B. Moss, Troy G. Schmitz, G. Cornelis van Kooten and H. Carole Schmitz.


  


University: UC Davis


Reporting Participants: Jens Hilscher


Hilscher, Jens, Alon Raviv and Ricardo Reis, "Inflation Risks are on the Rise" ARE Update, January-February 2022.



Gafarov, Bulat, Tengda Gong, and Jens Hilscher, "What Price is Right? Cigarette Demand Has Become More Responsive to Prices" ARE Update, March-April 2022.

Gafarov, Bulat and Jens Hilscher, "Too Little Too Late? The Two-Pronged Approach of the Federal Reserve" ARE Update, May-June 2022.


 


University: Purdue University


Reporting Participants: Holly Wang


Journal articles:



  1. Ma, M., M. Delgado, and H. H. Wang. “Risk, Arbitrage, and Spatial Price Relationships: Insights from China’s Hog Market under the African Swine Fever.” Journal of Development Economics,165(2023) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.103200.

  2. Hao, N., H. H. Wang, X. Wang, and M. Wetzstein. “Will the “nouveau-riche” (new-rich) waste more food? Evidence from China.” China Agricultural Economics Review, (2023) accepted https://doi.org/10.1108/CAER-07-2022-0139.

  3. Moon, D., H. H. Wang and N. Hao. “Consumer behavior in choosing microplastic contaminated seafood across different countries: The role of cultural and attitudinal factors.” Economic Analysis and Policy, 78 (2023):290-306. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2023.03.009.

  4. Wang, H. H. “The Perspective of Meat and Meat-Alternative Consumption in China.” Meat Science, 194 (2022), 108982. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.meatsci.2022.108982.

  5. Jiang, Y., H. H. Wang, and S. Jin. “Mobilizing the Public to Fight Poverty Using Anti-Poverty Labels in Online Food Market: Evidence from Real Experimental Auction.” Journal of Agricultural Economics, 74(2022):168-190. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12502.

  6. Wang, H. H., J. Yang, and N. Hao. “Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Rice from Remediated Soil: Potential from the Public in Sustainable Soil Pollution Treatment.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19 (15), (2022), 8946. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19158946.

  7. Katare, B., H. Yim, A. Byrne, H. H. Wang, M. Wetzstein. “Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Environmentally Sustainable Meat and a Plant-Based Meat Substitute.” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, (2022) https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13285.

  8. Wang, H. H., X. Han, Y. Jiang, and G. Wu. “Revealed Consumers’ Preferences for Fresh Produce Attributes in Chinese Online Markets: A Case of Domestic and Imported Apples.” PloS One, 17(6) (2022), e0270257. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270257.


 


Book Chapters:



  1. Delgado, M., M. Ma and H. H. Wang. “Exploring Spatial Price Relationships: The Case of African Swine Fever in China.” Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, Eds by P. Antras, and D. Zilberman, University of Chicago Press, 2023. pp. 139-157.

  2. Wang, H. H. and L. Liu. “Small Holders’ Willingness-to-Pay for Alternative Types of Crop Insurance in China.” Managing Risk in Agriculture: A Development Perspective. Eds by A. Mishra, S. C. Kumbhakar and G. Lein, CABI, 2023. pp155-166.


 


Proceedings:



  1. Delgado, M. S., M. Ma, and H. H. Wang. Exploring Spatial Price Relationships: The Case of African Swine Fever in China. Working Paper, w29141. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2021. https://www.nber.org/papers/w29141


 


University: Ohio State University


Reporting Participants: Ian Sheldon



  1. M. Sheldon, “The US’s Power-Based Bargaining and the WTO: Has Anything Really Been Gained?”, Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 44(3) 2022.

  2. Heerman and I.M. Sheldon, “Sustainable Agricultural Production, Income and Eco-Labelling: What Can Be Learned from a Modern Ricardian Approach,” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 44(4) 2022.

  3. C.K. Chow and I.M. Sheldon, “A Private Bargaining and Efficient Breach Approach to the Problem of U.S.-China Trade: Bringing a Non-Violation Case in the WTO,” Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law, 56(3) 2023.

  4. C.K. Chow and I.M. Sheldon, "Combatting a Crisis of Global Food Protectionism Sparked by the War in Ukraine," Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law, 56(5) 2023.

  5. M. Sheldon, “Filing WTO Violation and Non-Violation Complaints: A Possible Solution to China’s Market Access Commitments?” in The Future of Trade: A North American Perspective. Eds. A. Payan and D. Gantz. Elgar, December 2023.

  6. M. Sheldon and S. McCorriston, “Vertical Markets, Carbon Border Tax Adjustments and ‘Dirty Inputs’”, Working Paper, Andersons Program in International Trade, May 2023.

  7. M. Sheldon, “The United States’ Challenge(s) to Canada’s Dairy Import Tariff Rate Quotas: What is all the Fuss About?” Working Paper, Andersons Program in International Trade, July 2023.


 


Extension Publications 2023:



  1. I.M. Sheldon, S. Lee, and C. Zoller, “Where Could the U.S.-Mexico GM Corn Dispute End Up?” Ohio Ag Manager, March 13, 2023.

  2. I.M. Sheldon, and C. Zoller, “Will Price Volatility Continue in the World Wheat Market?” Ohio Ag Manager, April 6, 2023.

  3. I.M. Sheldon, S. Lee, and C. Zoller, “Where Could the U.S.-Mexico GM Corn Dispute End Up?” farmdocDAILY, April 7, 2023.

  4. I.M. Sheldon, and C. Zoller, “What are the Implications of the Black Sea Grain Deal Breaking Down?” Ohio Ag Manager, July 18, 2023.

  5. I.M. Sheldon, and C. Zoller, “Post-Black Sea Grain Deal: What’s Happening to Wheat Prices?” Ohio Ag Manager, October 10, 2023.


 


University: North Dakota State University


Reporting Participants: Sandro Steinbach


Referred Publication



  • Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “U.S. Agricultural Exports and the 2022 Mississippi River Drought,” Agribusiness, first published online.

  • Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “Global Container Shipping Disruptions, Pop-Up Ports, and U.S. Agricultural Exports,” Applied Economic Perspectives & Policy, first published online.

  • Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “Retaliatory Tariffs and Container Shipping Disruptions Cause Considerable Trade Damages to California’s Almond Industry,” Choices, 38(2): 1–9.

  • Colin A. Carter, Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “Supply Chain Disruptions and Containerized Agricultural Exports from California Ports,” Applied Economic Perspectives & Policy, 45(2): 1051–1071.

  • Soojung Ahn and Sandro Steinbach (2023). “The Impact of COVID-19 Trade Measures on Agricultural and Food Trade,” Applied Economic Perspectives & Policy, 45(2): 911–927.

  • Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “The Impact of Maritime Shipping Disruptions on U.S. Tree Nut Exports and Inventories,” Agribusiness, 39 (3): 904–911.

  • Sandro Steinbach (2023). “The Russia-Ukraine War and Global Trade Reallocations,” Economics Letters, 226: 111075.

  • Soojung Ahn and Sandro Steinbach (2023). “Agri-Food Trade Resilience among Food-Deficit Countries during the COVID-19 Pandemic,” International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 26(3): 397–408.

  • Soojung Ahn, Dongin Kim and Sandro Steinbach (2023). “The Impact of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine on Grain and Oilseed Trade,” Agribusiness, 39(1): 291–299.

  • Heidi Schweizer, Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2022). “A Portrait of Firms that Trade in Meat Products,” Western Economics Forum, 20(2): 6–18.

  • Sandro Steinbach (2022). “Port Congestion, Container Shortages, and U.S. Foreign Trade,” Economics Letters, 213: 110392.


 


University: Michigan State University


Reporting Participants: David L Ortega


Journal Article Publications



  1. Farris, J., Maredia, M., Mason-Wardell, N., Ortega, D.L. (2023). Farmer Personality and Community-Based Extension Effectiveness in Tanzania. World Development, accepted.

  2. Maredia, M., Porter, M., Nakasone, E., Ortega, D.L., Caputo, V. (2023). Does increasing the availability of a nutritious food produced by a SME increase its consumption? Evidence from a field experiment in Kenya. Applied Economic Perspective and Policy, accepted.

  3. Ufer, D.J., Ortega, D.L. (2023). Right on the money? U.S. dairy farmers’ varied understanding of consumer preferences and attitudes towards animal health, welfare, and biotechnology. Journal of Dairy Research, accepted.

  4. Ufer, D.J., Ortega, D.L. (2023). The Complexity of Food Purchase Motivations: Impacts of Key Priorities, Knowledge, and Information Sources on Active Purchase of Food Labels. Food Quality and Preference, accepted.

  5. Lin, W., Ortega, D. L., & Caputo, V. (2023). Experimental quantity, mental budgeting and food choice: a discrete choice experiment application. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 50 (2), 457-496.

  6. Herrington, C., Maredia, M., Ortega, D.L., Taleon, V., Birol, E., Sarkar, A.R., Rahaman, S. (2023). Rural Bangladeshi Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Rice with Improved Nutrition via Zink Biofortified Rice and Decreased Milling Practices. Agricultural Economics, 54(1), 5-22.

  7. Sun, J., Ortega, D. L., & Lin, W. (2023). Food values drive Chinese consumers' demand for meat and milk substitutes. Appetite, 181, 106392.

  8. Ortega, D. L., Caputo, V., & Maredia, M. (2023). Effectiveness of nutritional information in increasing demand for enriched yoghurt among poor households in Kenya: Implications for agribusiness marketing strategies. Agribusiness, 39 (1), 285-290.


 


University: Mississippi State University


Reporting Participants: Juyoung Lee


Accomplishments:


Lee, J. & Karpova, E. (submitted). Chapter 3. Textile and apparel supply chains. Global global: The textile and apparel industry, 5th edition. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.


 


 University: Louisiana State University


Reporting Participants: Sunghun Lim




  1. Bullock, David W., Sunghun Lim, and Sandro Steinbach. “Southern Economic Impacts of Premium-to-Liability Ratio Limits in U.S. Crop Insurance.” Southern Ag Today 3(25.4). June 22, 2023.




  2. Lim, Sunghun (2023). “Global Agricultural Value Chains and Structural Transformation,” David Zilberman and Pol Antràs (Editors), NBER Book series, Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, the University of Chicago Press.




  3. Lim, Sunghun (2023), “Risk Aversion, Crop Diversity, and Food Security,” Applied Economics.




  4. Lim, Sunghun & Anh Nguyen (2023), "Shifting Trade Winds: Southeast Asia’s Response to the US-China Trade War," Asian Development Review (forthcoming).




  5. Afesorgbor, Sylvanus K. and Sunghun Lim (2023). “Food Security, Agri-Food Trade and COVID-19: Evidence from South Asia,” Journal of Agricultural & Applied Economics Association.




  6. Yu, Jisang & Sunghun Lim (2024), "Understanding Inequality in US Farm Subsidy Using a Large-scale Administrative Data," revision requested at American Journal of Agricultural Economics (AJAE), forthcoming.




 


University: Kansas State University


Reporting Participants: Jisang Yu


 


Lobell, David and Nelson B. Villoria (2023) “Reduced benefits of climate-smart agricultural policies from land use spillovers.” Nature Sustainability, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01112-w.


 Hendricks, Nathan, Aaron Smith, Nelson B. Villoria, Matthieu Stigler (2023). "The Effects of Agricultural Policy on Supply and Productivity: Evidence from Differential Changes in Distortions." Agricultural Economics. DOI: 10.1111/agec.12741.


 Chen, Bowen and Nelson B. Villoria (2022). “Foreign Yield Shocks and Domestic Price Variability: The Case of Maize in Developing Countries.” Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca7d5


 Villoria, Nelson, Rachael Garrett, Florian Gollnow, and Kimberly Carlson (2022). “Leakage Does Not Fully Offset Soy Supply-Chain Efforts to Reduce Deforestation in Brazil.” Nature Communications 13, no. 1 (September 17, 2022): 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33213-z. (Fifth Edition Mapbiomas First Place General Category Award for Best Research Article, 2023.)gma


 Yu, Jisang, Nelson B. Villoria, and Nathan Hendricks (2022). “The Incidence of Foreign Market Accessibility on Farmland Rental Rates.” Food Policy, 112, DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2022.102343


 Arnold, Chelsea, et al. (Yu, Jisang) "The Role of Risk in Farmland Contract Choices." Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 48.2 (2023): 398-411.


 Janzen,Joseph P., Bryn Swearingen, and Jisang Yu. "Buying time: The effect of Market Facilitation Program payments on the supply of grain storage." Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2023).


 Yu, Jisang, and Georgi T. Gabrielyan. "Do large farms make better choices: Evidence from dairy margin coverage program participation patterns." Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 45, no. 4 (2023): 2235-2254.


 Goh, Gyuhyeong, and Jisang Yu. "Causal inference with some invalid instrumental variables: A quasi‐Bayesian approach." Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 84, no. 6 (2022): 1432-1451.


 


 


University: Iowa State University


Reporting Participants: E. Kwan Choi


Choi, Yoonho, and E. Kwan Choi. "Why exchange rate pass-through matters in forward exchange markets." Economic Modelling 110 (2022): 105795.


 


 


University: Colorado State University


Reporting Participants: Amanda Countryman


de Menezes*, T.C., J.B. de Souza Ferreira Filho, and A.M. Countryman. 2023. Potential economic impacts of foot-and-mouth disease in Brazil: A case study for Mato Grosso and Paraná.” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association. 2(3): 481-496. https://doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.73




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