Brief Summary of Minutes of Annual Meeting

Our research endeavors target a diverse audience, including national and state policymakers, local and regional agricultural producers, agribusinesses, and rural communities. By addressing the intricacies of U.S. food and agricultural trade, our goal is to contribute valuable insights to these stakeholders. Additionally, our commitment extends to enriching the existing literature in related research domains.

Under these overarching goals, our achievements have been significant. Our project primarily caters to U.S. producers and agribusinesses by furnishing them with up-to-date and pertinent information and analyses related to the impacts of both domestic and international policies on trade. In the short term, our project outputs serve to enhance the knowledge base of U.S. agricultural producers and agribusinesses, aiding them in understanding potential policy impacts on product marketing. In the medium term, this knowledge empowers these entities to identify potential markets and make informed investment decisions. By reducing uncertainties and risks associated with relying on a single market, our research facilitates the formulation of comprehensive and long-term investment plans. Over the long term, our study aims to contribute to society by fortifying the agricultural sector through improved decision-making processes and enhanced financial conditions for U.S. agricultural producers and agribusinesses. Ultimately, consumers stand to benefit from a more robust and diversified agricultural sector that results from effective resource allocation.

Our research focus centers on comprehending the impacts of U.S. and foreign policies, regulations, market structures, and productivity on U.S. food and agricultural trade, the economy, and the environment. The data utilized for these activities are primarily sourced from the USDA or public-accessible websites. Two notable studies from our research initiatives demonstrate our commitment to thorough analysis and disseminating valuable insights. In the first study, "Financial Performance of Sugar-Using Firms vs. Agribusinesses: Accounting and Economic Profit Rates Analysis," we examined publicly traded sugar-using firms (SUFs) to assess their financial performance relative to agribusinesses and the broader U.S. benchmark. This analysis, encompassing various financial metrics, revealed that SUFs outperformed agribusiness peers and the general U.S. benchmark, challenging recent claims by SUFs that the U.S. sugar program hinders their financial success. Published in the Agricultural Financial Review, this research is crucial for industry understanding. In the second study, "Global Animal Protein Trade Impacts of Large-scale Health Events," we explored the intricate dynamics between large-scale human health events and global animal protein trade, using export data from 2010-2020. Published in Western Economics Forum, our findings offer insights into diverse responses between diseases, products, and exporters, contributing to a nuanced understanding of future health event implications on the meat industry.

In the coming year, our research endeavors will continue to evolve with a focus on furthering our understanding of global agricultural dynamics and facilitating informed decision-making in the industry. Building on our successful projects, we plan to delve deeper into emerging trends, exploring novel aspects such as sustainable practices, technological advancements, and evolving consumer preferences. Additionally, we aim to expand our geographical scope by investigating potential export markets beyond our current focal points, leveraging insights gained from ongoing projects. Through a combination of rigorous analysis, strategic partnerships, and knowledge dissemination, we aspire to contribute valuable insights that empower stakeholders in the agricultural sector to navigate complexities and seize opportunities in an ever-changing global landscape.

Here are the outcomes of related research activities:

University: University of Tennessee-Knoxville

Reporting Participants: Karen DeLong

Accomplishments:

Project No. TEN00535 S1072

Members: T. Edward Yu, Karen DeLong, and Andrew Muhammad FY20 covers October 1, 2022 – September 30, 2023

TARGET AUDIENCE

Our research aims to help national and state policy makers, local and regional agricultural producers, agribusiness, and rural communities. We also expect to contribute to the literature in related research areas.

PRODUCTS

Presentations (* denotes presenter)

1. Reed, C., Yu, T.E.*, and D.W. Hughes. “Location Analysis of Grocery Stores in the United States,” 7^th International Symposium on Business and Social Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan, June 28-30, 2023.
2. Yu, T.E.^*, C. Hellwinckel, and S. Yun. “Impact of Renewable Fuel Development on U.S. Agricultural Land ” Selected symposium. SAEA annual meeting. Oklahoma City, OK. February 4-8, 2023.
3. Fontanilla-Diaz, C., T.E., Yu^*, C. Trejo-Pech, J.A. Larson, B.C. English, and B. Wilson. “Economic Analysis of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Supply Chain from Hybrid Poplar in the US Southeast Considering Alternative Preprocessing Technologies.” TRB annual meeting online, 23-3566, Washington, D.C. January 8-12, 2023.
4. DeLong, K.L. “Evaluating Potential Land Use of Utility-Scale Photovoltaics on Farmland in ” Invited Presentation. Tennessee Valley Solar Conference. Chattanooga, TN. October 18, 2023.
5. Gao, *, C. Grebitus, and K.L. DeLong. “US Consumer Preferences for Different Quality Grade Labels.” Presentation. Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Annual Meeting. Washington, D.C. July 23-26, 2023.
6. Gao, *, C. Grebitus, and K.L. DeLong. “Effect of Product and Country Image on U.S. Consumers’ Domestic Beef Preferences.” Presentation. Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Annual Meeting. Washington, D.C. July 23-26, 2023.
7. Boyer, N.*, E. Park, A.P. Griffith, K.L. DeLong, and C. Martinez. Impact of Subsidy on Livestock Risk Protection for Fed and Feeder Cattle.” Presentation. Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Annual Meeting. Washington, D.C. July 23-26, 2023.
8. DeLong, L.* “Will the United States Continue to Produce Sugar?”. Invited Presentation. The University of Tennessee Science Forum. Zoom. February 17, 2023.
9. Muhammad, A “Agrivoltaic Systems and Climate-Smart Expansion of Solar Energy in Small and Medium Farms” FEWSUS International Conference on Circular Bioeconomy Systems. Buenos Aires, Argentina, December 2022.

10. Muhammad, A, & A Countryman “Implications of an ASEAN Free Trade Agreement and Sector Specific Outcomes” AAEA and USDA Organized Symposium on Contemporary Issues facing U.S. Agricultural Trade and Trade Policy, (Virtual) September 2023.
11. Upendram, S, & A Muhammad “Rural Broadband as a Foundation for Innovation” Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Annual Meeting, Washington, C., July 2023.
12. Nzayiramya, S, & A Muhammad “How Income and Prices Influence Food Spending Countries” Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., July 2023.
13. Muhammad, A “Green Energy Globalization: The Connection Between EU Climate Policy and S. Wood Pellet Trade” Rod Ziemer Lecture Series, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA, April 2023 (invited).
14. Muhammad, A “Implications of a S.-Southeast Asia (ASEAN) Trade Agreement” USDA FAS, Agricultural Trade Webinar (Virtual), February 2023.
15. Muhammad, A “Training a New Generation of Leaders in International Agricultural Trade and Development” USDA NIFA National Needs Fellowship Project Director Meeting (Virtual), February 2023 (invited).
16. Muhammad, A “Rethinking Winners and Losers from Agricultural Trade Policy: The Case of U.S. Steel Tariffs and the Canned Food Sector” Council on Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics (C-FARE) Brandt Forum, New Orleans, LA, January 2023 (invited).
17. Hossen MD, A Muhammad, B Kenner, and D Russel “Supply Chain Disruptions, Shipping Costs, and U.S. Agricultural Trade” International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium Annual Meeting, Clearwater Beach, FL, December 2022.
18. Muhammad, A, C Valdes, K DeLong, and C Grebitus “Effects of Policy and Exporter Competition on Imported Beef Demand in China” International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium Annual Meeting, Clearwater Beach, FL, December 2022.
19. Muhammad, A “Russia’s War on Ukraine and Impacts on Agriculture, Global Markets, and Food Security” Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, February 2023 (invited discussant).
20. Bhishma, R et al. “Willingness to Purchase Rwandan Broiler Chicken Relative to Indigenous Breeds: Evidence from Kigali Restaurants” Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, February 2023.
21. Jaing, B & A Muhammad, “Impacts of the Trade War on U.S. Wooden Furniture Imports” Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, February 2023.
22. Bhishma R et al. “Factors Affecting Chinese Beef Consumers’ Purchase Frequency” Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meeting, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, February 2023.

Extension Presentations

1. Muhammad, A. “Tennessee Agricultural and Forestry Trade Update” Tennessee Department of Agriculture and Agricultural Industry Partners (Virtual) (Quarterly, June, August), 2023.
2. Muhammad, “U.S. and Tennessee Agricultural Trade Outlook” Regional Agricultural and Resource Economics In-Service Trainings (3), Knoxville, Murfreesboro, and Jackson, Tennessee, October 31- November 2, 2023.

3. Muhammad, “Outlook for U.S. and Southeast Poultry Trade” 2023 Tennessee Poultry Association Annual Meeting, Nashville, Tennessee, August 18, 2023.
4. Muhammad, “Agrivoltaics and Climate-Smart Expansion of Solar Energy in Small and Medium Farms” Episcopal Church of the Ascension, Knoxville, Tennessee, July 27, 2023.
5. Muhammad, A. “The of U.S. Wood Pellet Exports and Implications for the Southeast” Agricultural and Resource Economics and Area Specialists Farm Management Workshop, Murfreesboro, Tennessee, April 26, 2023.
6. Muhammad, “2023 Agricultural Trade Outlook” Master Farm Manager Training, Washington County, Tennessee, March 16, 2023.
7. Muhammad, “2023 Agricultural Trade Outlook” 2023 Mid-South Agricultural Trade Conference and Farm and Gin Show, Memphis, Tennessee, February 24, 2023.
8. Muhammad, “2023 Agricultural Trade Outlook” Master Farm Manager Training, Carthage, Tennessee, February 21, 2023.
9. Muhammad, “2023 Agricultural Trade Outlook” 2023 West Tennessee Grain and Soybean Producers Conference, Dyersburg, Tennessee, February 2, 2023.
10. Muhammad, A. “Situation and Outlook for U.S. Agricultural Trade: Implications for Feeds Grains” 2023 Tennessee Feed and Grain Association Annual Meeting, Franklin, Tennessee, January 26, 2023.
11. Muhammad, “Current Issues Affecting U.S. and Tennessee Agricultural Trade” 2023 Farm Credit Mid-America Tennessee Advocate Council Meeting, Franklin, Tennessee, January 20, 2023.
12. Muhammad, A. “Current Issues Affecting U.S. and Delaware Agricultural Trade” Delaware Ag Week, Risk Management Session, Harrington, Delaware, January 11,
13. Muhammad, A. “State of the Agricultural Economy for Tennessee” University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture Regional Advisory Council Meeting (Eastern) (Virtual) November 15, 2022.
14. Muhammad, “U.S. and Tennessee Agricultural Trade Outlook” Regional Agricultural and Resource Economics In-Service Trainings (3), Knoxville, Murfreesboro, and Jackson, Tennessee, October 31- November 3, 2022.
15. Muhammad, A. “Situation and Outlook for Tennessee’s Forest Product Exports” Tennessee Forestry Association, Paris Landing State Park, Tennessee, October 6,

Staff Report published: None

Abstracts and Paper Published in Proceedings None

OTHER PRODUCTS

• DeLong, K.L., O.G. Murphy, D.W. Hughes, C.D. Clark, and H. Crissy. 2023. “Evaluating Potential Land Use of Utility-Scale Photovoltaics (Solar Panels) on Farmland in ” University of Tennessee Institute of Agriculture Research Report, RR 23-002. https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/337419

• Boyer, C.N., C. Martinez, E. Park, A.P. Griffith, and L. DeLong. 2023. “Uptick in Livestock Risk Protection for Feeder Cattle.” Southern Ag Today. June 13, 2023. https://southernagtoday.org/2023/06/13/uptick-in-livestock-risk-protection-for-feeder- cattle/
• Boyer, C.N., C. Martinez, E. Park, A.P. Griffith, and L. DeLong. 2023. “Uptick in Livestock Risk Protection for Fed Cattle.” Southern Ag Today. June 20, 2023. https://southernagtoday.org/2023/06/20/uptick-in-livestock-risk-protection-for-fed-cattle/
• Muhammad, A, & MD Angola: U.S. Chicken Exports Facing Increasing Competition in this Leading Market Southern Ag Today November (2023).
• Muhammad, A, & A Can Chinese Demand for U.S. Hides and Skins Recover? Southern Ag Today October (2023).
• Muhammad, The Rise and Fall of U.S. Chicken Feet in China: A Story of Bird Flu and Trade Bans Southern Ag Today September (2023).
• Muhammad, U.S. Whiskey Exports Remain Strong as Ag Exports are Expected to Decline Overall Southern Ag Today June (2023).
• Muhammad, Egg-spensive Business: Exploring the Spike in Egg Prices and the Impact of Imports Southern Ag Today June (2023).
• Muhammad, U.S. Beef Exports Down in 2023 (so far) – U.S. Beef is Losing Ground in China Southern Ag Today May (2023).
• Muhammad, U.S. Wood Pellet Exports Continue to Reach Record Levels Southern Ag Today March (2023).
• Muhammad, U.S. Agricultural Exports Set Another Record in 2022, but Higher Prices Appear to be the Cause Southern Ag Today February (2023).
• Muhammad, A, C Hellwinckel, S Nzayiramya, & A Taylor. Economic Impact of Tennessee Forest Product Exports in UT Extension Publication W 1144 (2023).
• Muhammad, China’s imports of U.S. beef continue to increase. But how does the

U.S. compare to other competing countries? Southern Ag Today January (2023).

• Muhammad, China Emerges as a Leading Destination for U.S. Beef Exports. Southern Ag Today. December (2022).
• Muhammad, USDA: ERS Report Shows that U.S. Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) Benefit Developing Countries. Southern Ag Today. October (2022).
• ​

ACCOMPLISHMENTS

What was accomplished under these goals?

Impact Statement

International markets account for a considerable portion of U.S. agricultural products sales thus our project serves U.S. producers and agribusiness by providing them updated and relevant information and analysis related to the impacts of domestic and international polices on trade.

In the short term, our project outputs enhance the knowledge of U.S. agricultural producers and agribusiness regarding the potential impact of policies or regulations on marketing their products. In the medium term, U.S. producers and agribusiness could identify the potential markets and make more adequate investment decisions based on the knowledge provided from our outputs. Enhancing the knowledge of policy impacts on trade could also help producers and investors reduce the uncertainties and risk of counting on a single/dominant market and make a more

comprehensive and long-term investment plan. In the long term, our study could benefit the society from developing a stronger agricultural sector through the improvement in the decision process and related financial condition of U.S. agricultural producers and agribusiness. Consumers will benefit from acquiring low-cost and diverse agricultural products when producers and agribusiness gain more knowledge in allocating resources more effectively.

Our focus is on the impacts of U.S. and foreign policies, regulations, market structures, and productivity on U.S. food and agricultural trade, the economy, and the environment. The data used in those activities are primarily obtained from USDA or public accessed websites. We highlight two of our studies below.

1. How Does the Financial Performance of Sugar-Using Firms Compare to other Agribusinesses? An Accounting and Economic Profit Rates Analysis

What is the issue?

United States (US) sugar policy regulates how much foreign sugar enters the US through a tariff- rate quota (TRQ) system. US sugar policy also utilizes domestic marketing allotments to regulate how much sugar is allowed to be marketed in the US. Due to the mechanisms of US sugar policy, US sugar prices are generally higher than world sugar prices. Sugar-using companies complain that US sugar prices are higher than world prices because of US sugar policy.

However, the US is one of the largest sugar importing countries in the world and 40 countries export sugar to the US. Furthermore, nearly all the sugar exporting countries in the world have trade distorting sugar subsidies. Thus, there is debate between sugar-using companies and sugar producers over US sugar policy.

What has the team done to address the problem?

We examined the financial performance of publicly traded sugar-using firms (SUFs) to determine if they are performing at an economic disadvantage in terms of accounting profitability, risk and economic profitability compared to other industries. To accomplish this, firm-level financial accounting and market data from 2010 to 2019 were utilized to construct financial metrics for publicly traded SUFs, agribusinesses and general US firms. These financial metrics were analyzed to determine how SUFs compare to their agribusiness peer group and general US companies. The comprehensive financial analysis covered: (1) accounting profit rates, (2) drivers of profitability, (3) economic profit rates, (4) trend analysis and (5) peer comparisons. Quantile regression analysis and Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney statistics were employed for statistical comparisons. Our findings suggested that regarding various profitability and risk measures, SUFs outperform their agribusiness peers and the general benchmark of all US firms in terms of accounting profit rates, risk levels and economic profit rates. Furthermore, compared to other US industries using the 17 French and Fama classifications, SUFs have the highest return on investment and economic profit rate―measured by the Economic Value Added® margin―and the second-lowest opportunity cost of capital, measured by the weighted average cost of capital.

What are the impacts of the team’s research?

Our study found nothing to suggest that the US sugar program hinders the financial success of SUFs, contrary to recent claims by sugar-using firms. Notably in this analysis is the evaluation of

economic profit rates and a series of robustness techniques. This research was published in the

Agricultural Financial Review and promoted in press releases by the American Sugar Alliance.

1. Global Animal Protein Trade Impacts of Large-scale Human Health Events What is the issue?

The incidence of largescale global human health events is expected to increase with emergent zoonotic and transboundary diseases, climate change, agricultural consolidation, increased globalization, and reliance on trade. Government and market response to a disease is dependent on the size of the outbreak, pathogenicity and virulence of the disease, and the perceived risks of its introduction and spread. The impact of largescale human disease events and their respective institutional response can lead to financial and market disruptions and affect nearly every industrial sector and market, including animal protein trade. The latest human disease event, the COVID-19 pandemic, continues to be the largest and most expansive disease event of the last century with sizeable implications domestically and internationally.

What has the team done to address the problem?

The research team used the export trade data from 2010-2020 for animal protein exporters to estimate the effects human health events (i.e., MERS-Cov, COVID-19, Ebola, and Zika virus) on global animal protein trade for 23 individual commodities (6-digit HS level). A panel regression model accounting for the variations in disease, product, and exporter was used for the estimation.

What are the impacts of the team’s research?

There has been substantial debate regarding the influence of COVID-19 on agricultural trade during the pandemic. Our study adds to this debate by showing heterogeneity between diseases, products, and exporters. This heterogeneity indicates differences in response between events, dependent on event size, scope, and impacts. The study results can deepen the understanding of the implications of future emerging large-scale health events on the meat industry. The results have been published in Western Economics Forum.

What opportunities for training and professional development has the project provided?

Nothing to report.

How have results been disseminated to communities of interest?

Professional conferences, Extension meetings, and other stakeholders’ meetings. Results have also been presented to the American Sugar Alliance and its public through press releases.

What do you plan to do during the next reporting period to accomplish the goals?

The project ended by September 30, 2023.

University: University of Georgia

Reporting Participants: Gopinath Munisamy

Presentations/media

Annual Meeting of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

Adhikari, S., Poudel, D., and M. Gopinath. “Policy Effects on Global Palm Oil Trade: A Gravity Model Approach.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC.

Balaji, S.J., and M. Gopinath. “Spatial Growth and Convergence in Indian Agriculture.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC

Khanal, A., and M. Gopinath. “Impact of Fresh Blueberry Imports on Domestic Industry.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC

Khadka, S., and M. Gopinath. “Anomalies and Recoveries in Agricultural Trade” Selected Presentation, July 2022, Anaheim, CA.

Annual Meeting of the International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium

Khadka, S., M. Gopinath and F. Batarseh. “Shifting Alliances – Friendshoring in Agricultural Trade.” December 2023, Clearwater Beach, FL.

Poudel, D., and M. Gopinath. “Political Instability and Undernourishment: Nepal’s

Decade-Long Insurgency.” December 2023, Clearwater Beach, FL.

Interviewed for “From Georgia to the World.” Georgia Trend, July 2023: https://www.georgiatrend.com/2023/06/27/from-georgia-to-the-world/

Students and Trainees

• Master’s – Ajit Khanal and Susmitha Kalli (Spring 2023)
• J. Balaji - Fulbright-Nehru Post-Doctoral Fellow (Sep. 1, 2022 – Aug. 31, 2023, India)

University: Purdue University

Reporting Participants: Holly Wang

Presentations:

1. Wang, H. H., and Hua, Y. “Comparison of Preferences for Cell-Cultured Products in the U.S., China and South Korea: An Investigation of Labeling Effects.” Selected paper, Chinese Economists Society Annual Conference, Wuhan, China, June, 2023.
2. Ma, M., M. Delgado, and H. H. Wang. “Using Spatial Price Data to Analyzing the African Swine Fever Impact on China’s Hog Market Integration.” CES-GU 2023 Guiyang International Forum: Data Technology and Artificial Intelligence Contribution to China Agricultural and Rural Modernization. Guiyang, Guizhou, June 19, 2023.
3. Hao, N., Wang, H. H., and Wang, X. “A three-country study on consumer responses to political conflicts: boycott, buycott, or standby.” Selected paper, the Chinese Economists Society North America Conference, Oklahoma City, OK, March 31, 2023.
4. Moon, D., Wang, H. H., and Hao, N. “Consumer behavior in choosing microplastic contaminated seafood across different countries: the role of cultural and environmental attitudinal factors.” International Congress of Environment, Sapporo, Japan, January 10, 2023.

Invited Seminars:

1. “Using Spatial Price Data to Analyzing the African Swine Fever Impact on China’s Hog Market Integration.” Seminar, College of Economics and Management, China Agriculture University, Beijing, China, December 28, 2023.
2. Same topic, Seminar, College of Agricultural Economics and Development, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China, December 22, 2023.
3. “China’s Response and Impact on the Global Food and Agricultural System Shocks.” Workshop on Chinese Food Security Strategy with the Greater Food Perspective. Online, November 4, 2023.

4..      “A three-country study on consumer responses to political conflicts: boycott, buycott, or standby.” Seminar, College of Agricultural Economics, Huazhong Agriculture University, Wuhan, June 23, 2023.

5. 5. Same topic, Seminar, College of Finance, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, June 6, 2023.
6. 6. Same topic, Seminar, Department of Agricultural Economics, Center of Chinese Agricultural Policy, Peking University, Beijing, China, May 29, 2023.
7. “Consumer Behavior in Choosing Microplastic Contaminated Seafood across Different Countries: The Role of Cultural and Attitudinal Factors.” Seminar, China Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD), Zhejiang University, June 5, 2023.
8. Same Topic, Seminar, Department of Agricultural Economics, Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan, March 15, 2023.
9. “Risk, Arbitrage, and Spatial Price Relationships: Insights from China’s Hog Market under the African Swine Fever.” Seminar, College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agriculture University, Nanjing, June 7, 2023.

Accomplishments

What was accomplished?

The US is a major agricultural exporter in the world and continues to seek and expand its exporting opportunities. Our research has been focused on the investigation of foreign markets, foreign consumer preferences, and foreign production of agricultural and food products in our major export targeting countries, primarily China and Korea. Understanding the consumer preferences on specific attributes of food and agricultural products can provide US exporters information about how to make their products fit the preferences, and knowing their production patterns can help US exporters grasp the opportunities and stay competitive. There are several  projects we have completed this year.

• The first one is a consumer preference study for US, Korea and China with respect to microplastic contamination free seafood, salmon in specific. Microplastic is a new pollution that US consumers are not very aware of, indicated by our survey that 60% of respondents have never heard about it. While Koreans are more aware of that. Revealed by our three-country survey data, all consumers have shown interests in cleaner products. Korea and China are importing their salmon, and the US can be a potential exporter competing with Norway and Chile, the two largest existing salmon exporters. The author’s previous studies have shown Alaskan salmon has potential in these markets. Consumer studies for salmon contribute directly to trade issues.
• The second includes a consumer preference study for US, Korea and China with respect to lab cultured meat alternatives and a Chinese meat alternative market study. Driven by the concerns of environmental and natural resource impact, consumers worldwide start to get cautious for their meat especially red meat consumption. Korea and China are two large markets for US red meat export, beef and pork, and their consumer attitude toward plant-based meat alternative and lab-cultured meat is important information for the US livestock industry.
• China is also the world's largest pork producer while it imports more pork from the world. Our third study is the recent impact of African Swine Fever in China. The damages caused by the animal disease not only has a short-run effect of market shortage but also a long-run effect of domestic market segmentation.
• The fourth study is about geopolitical issues, a major factor affecting international trade in recent years. The empirical study is also a three-country consumer perspective about imported products after a political conflict. Led by US and European apparel producers boycotting cotton produced in one of the Chinese regions as a protest to Chinese government behavior in that region. This in turn caused Chinese consumers to boycott apparel products of these firms made with cotton from non-Chinese suppliers. A three-country study of boycotting, buycotting and standing-by consumers have revealed consumer attitudes for international trade.

Dissemination and training

All projects lead to publications either in peer reviewed journals such as the very prestigious Journal of Economic Development or in conference presentations that are in the publication process.  Two Purdue PhD students and several junior faculty members from different universities are involved in these projects and getting mentored for their professional development.

Activities: Dr. Cardoso continues to lead Purdue-based the research team on the project titled “A global agricultural supply-demand-climate-trade model calibrated to Baseline.” This is a project funded by the USDA/ERS under a Non-Assistance Cooperative Agreement (#58-3000-2-0085). The objective of this project is to develop an open-source software package that allows USDA’s economists, the research community, and other stakeholders to perform scenario analysis in a model calibrated to the Baseline projections. The project effectively started in September 2023, and the initial efforts have been focused on prototyping the software and computational model.

 Milestones: Dr. Cardoso’s research team plans to have a functional prototype for demonstration to the USDA/ERS leadership team by August 2024. Subsequent development will be informed by this round of interactions, with the goal of publicly releasing a complete model and software package by August 2025.

University: Ohio State University

Reporting Participants: Ian Sheldon

Accomplishments:

Presentations 2023:

1. I.M. Sheldon and S. McCorriston, “Vertical Markets, Carbon Border Tax Adjustments and ‘Dirty Inputs’”, AAEA Annual Meetings, Washington DC, July 2023.
2. I.M. Sheldon and S. McCorriston, “Vertical Markets, Carbon Border Tax Adjustments and ‘Dirty Inputs’”, IATRC Annual Meetings, Clearwater, Florida, December 2023.

Extension Presentations 2023:

1. I.M. Sheldon, “Global Economic Outlook”, 2023 Agricultural Outlook, Plain City, Ohio, January 27, 2023.
2. I.M. Sheldon, “How are we going to feed the world?” 2023 Economic Outlook and Policy Webinar Series, Columbus, Ohio, January 30, 2023.
3. I.M. Sheldon, The State of Global Food Markets”, Liberty Union Young Farmers Meeting, Baltimore, Ohio, February 15, 2023.
4. I.M. Sheldon, “Global Economic Outlook”, 2023 Agricultural Outlook, Circleville, Ohio, February 23, 2023.
5. I.M. Sheldon, “The Talk on Friday Avenue^® - The Farm Bill and Looking Forward”, Organizer and Moderator, OSU Farm Science Review, London, Ohio, September 19, 2023.
6. I.M. Sheldon, “The Global Economy: Outlook and Key Challenges”, 2023 Discover Global Markets Conference, US Commercial Service, Department of Commerce, Ohio State University, September 26, 2023.
7. I.M. Sheldon, Panel on the US Farm Bill, Organizer and Moderator, 2023-24 Agricultural Policy and Outlook Conference, Columbus, Ohio, November 13, 2023.
8. M. Sheldon, “Global Economic Outlook”, 2023-24 Agricultural Policy and Outlook Conference, Columbus, Ohio, November 13, 2023.

Media Presentations, Interviews, and Media Citations 2023:

1. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by John McCracken and cited in “U.S. and Mexico Have 1 Week Left to Settle Corn Clash”, Ambrook Research, March 31, 2023.
2. I.M. Sheldon cited by Chuck Abbott in, “U.S.-Mexico Corn Dispute Could Drag On All Year”, Successful Farming, April 10, 2023.
3. I.M. Sheldon cited by Jenna Hoffman in, “Which States Would Feel the Effects of Mexico’s GMO Corn Ban?”, for Ag Web April 10, 2023.
4. I.M. Sheldon cited in, “Leading Academics on How the U.S.-Mexico Corn Dispute Will End Up”, Agri Marketing, April 10, 2023.
5. I.M. Sheldon interviewed by Mark Dorenkamp and cited in, “6 States Hit Hardest with Mexico GM Corn Ban in Place”, for Brownfield Ag News, April 13, 2023.
6. I.M. Sheldon interviewed on RFD TV on US-Mexico GM crop dispute, April 14, 2023.
7. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Rui Du for CGTN America on impact of Ukrainian grain exports on central European farmers, April 28, 2023.
8. I.M. Sheldon, summary bullets on key agricultural trade issues provided to US representative Max Miller, May 9, 2023.
9. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed about the US job numbers and interest rates, Asharq TV News, June 2, 2023.
10. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed about US inflation numbers, Asharq TV News, July 12, 2023.
11. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Arianna Smith for The Columbus Dispatch and cited in, “Rice expected to become rarer, more expensive with India export ban”, August 7, 2023.
12. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Patrick Cooley for The Messenger and cited in, “India Ban on Sugar Exports Shouldn’t Hurt Halloween Candy Prices in US”, August 24, 2023.
13. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Victoria Chupinetsky for Voice of America on the ending of the Black Sea grain deal, August 31, 2023.
14. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Patrick Cooley for The Messenger on current agricultural trade and policy issues, September 19, 2023.
15. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Rebecca Schweitzer for Lancaster Farming and cited in, “Global Grain Harvest is Strong, But Trade is Hindered by Weak Transportation Infrastructure”, October 267, 2023.
16. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Ty Higgins on the global economic outlook, Ohio Farm Bureau, November 13, 2023.
17. I.M. Sheldon, interviewed by Matt Reese on the global economic outlook, Ohio Ag Net Podcast, December 4, 2023.

University: Michigan State University

Reporting Participants: David L Ortega

Congressional Testimony & Policy Presentations

1. Invited Speaker. Michigan Agribusiness Association. Foreign Ownership of U.S. Agricultural Land. December 13, 2023.
2. Congressional Testimony before the U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry on “Foreign Ownership in U.S. Agriculture”. September 27^th, 2023.
3. Invited Speaker. Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development. “Food Price Inflation: Past, Present, and Future”. May 9^th, 2023.
4. Expert Consultant. Government Accountability Office Report. Food Prices: Information on Trends, Factors, and Federal Roles. GAO-23-105846. March 28, 2023.

Invited Presentations and Seminars

1. The Effectiveness of Misinformation Corrective Strategies and Implications for Consumers’ Food Preferences and Policy Attitudes. Zhejiang University, October 27, 2023.
2. Food biotechnology misinformation and the effectiveness of corrective strategies. University of Florida, October 4, 2023.
3. Navigating the Biotechnology Landscape in Animal Agriculture: Consumer and Producer Acceptance of Gene Editing to Improve Farm Animal Welfare. American Society of Animal Science. July 17, 2023.
4. Food misinformation and the effectiveness of corrective strategies. University of Guelph, March 9, 2023.

Organized Symposia and Workshops

1. Organizer and moderator for a session on “Shocks, Supply Chain Disruptions, and Food Prices” at Michigan State University’s Universal Food Forum. July, 2023.
2. US-China Agribusiness Workshop: Module on US Meat and Livestock Sector (hosted by Purdue University). Virtual, July, 2023.

Select Popular Press Appearances and Media Consultancies

1. South China Morning Post. Buying up American farmland not part of China’s agricultural investment strategy, US panel told.  September 27, 2023.
2. Agri-Pulse. Sparse resources complicate monitoring of foreign land purchases, lawmakers told. September 27, 2023.
3. CNBC Documentaries. How did the Sriracha shortage happen? August 19, 2023.

4. The Ukrainian Review. Navigating the Grain Crisis: Expert Insights on the Black Sea Grain Initiative’s Collapse. August 16, 2023.

1. News From the States. Consumers seeing relief in some food prices as inflation continues to slow. August 10, 2023.

6. Yahoo! Finance. Inflation 2023: 7 Foods That Could Break Your Grocery Budget in the Fall. August 10, 2023.
7. The Wall Street Journal. Pro Take: U.S. Diners to Fork Over Almost $1 Trillion at Restaurants This Year (Tips Excluded) (Consultant). August 10, 2023.
8. The Messenger.Beef Prices are High and Headed Higher. August 2, 2023.

1. The New York Times. Big Consumer Companies Keep Raising Prices, Complicating Fed’s Job. July 26, 2023.
2. The New York Times. Sticker Shock in Restaurants: Still There, Despite a Food Price Drop. July 24, 2023.

11. The Messenger. Grocery Prices Could Drop a Bit Thanks to Bumper Crops of Corn, Wheat, Soybean. July 19, 2023.

1. ABC News. Inflation has plummeted but these prices are still soaring. July 17, 2023
2. Associated Press Got Sriracha? The price for a bottle of Huy Fong’s iconic hot sauce gets spicy with supplies short. July 13, 2023
3. The New York Times. Food prices rose at a slower rate in June. July 12, 2023
4. Financial Times. Pasta producers in hot water over soaring prices. June 21, 2023

16. NPR’s Marketplace.How does the price of soybeans, corn and other commodities affect the price of food? May 31^st, 2023.
17. New York Post.  Memorial Day barbecues under fire as food prices continue to soar. May 27, 2023
18. Pasta prices are up in U.S. but not like Italy crisis. May 23, 2023.
19. Civil Eats.Food Prices Are Still High. What Role do Corporate Profits Play? May 22, 2023.
20. Cincinnati Enquirer. Kroger and Albertsons say merger will save customers money. How much? May 22, 2023.
21. Soaring pasta prices caused a crisis in Italy. What can the U.S. learn from it? May 18, 2023.
22. ABC News. Baked goods prices are rising much faster than overall inflation. Here’s why. May 10^th, 2023.
23. NPR’s Marketplace. Grocery inflation cools while restaurant prices continue to rise. April 12^th, 2023.
24. The Petoskey News-Review. Food pantries seeing increased need after COVID-era assistance ends. March 25^th, 2023.
25. While the Costs of Somethings are Down, a lot of Other Prices are Climbing. March 14^th, 2023.  
26. Wisconsin Public Radio.From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago. March 1^st, 2023.

1. NPR. Eggs prices drop, but the threat from avian flu isn’t over yet. February 6, 2023.
2. Forbes. Super bowl party shopping: here are the grocery items to save on- and the prices to watch for. February 5, 2023.
3. NBC’s Today Show. Is price gouging behind the rising price of eggs? January 25^th, 2023.
4. CBS News Radio Detroit/WWJ. Why are eggs so expensive right now and when will the price come down? January 20^th, 2023.
5. WKAR ¿Que Onda Michigan? Todo lo que necesitas saver sobre el aumento de los precios en los huevos. January 20^th, 2023.
6. Bridge Michigan. Shell shocked: Why eggs are so expensive in Michigan and when it will end. January 19^th, 2023.
7. Brownfield Ag News. Where retail prices could head in 2023.  January 18^th, 2023.
8. Michigan Radio’s Stateside (NPR Station).  A researcher in food policy talks about why some food items have doubled in price. January 9, 2023
9. NPR Marketplace. Baked goods and cereals cost 16% more in December. What gives? January 12.

36. MLive. Millions of birds died. Eggs now cost nearly 50% more. January 5, 2023.

Conference Papers and Presentations

1. Ortega, D.L. Lin, L., Sun, J. “The Effectiveness of Misinformation Corrective Strategies and Implications for Consumers’ Food Preferences and Policy Attitudes.” Selected Paper. CAER-IFPRI Conference. Nanjing, China, October 2023.
2. Ortega, D.L. Lin, L., Sun, J. “The Effectiveness of Misinformation Corrective Strategies and Implications for Consumers’ Food Preferences and Policy Attitudes.” Selected Paper. EAAE Congress, Rennes, France, August 2023.
3. Ortega, D. L., Sun, J., & Lin, W. “Identity labels as an instrument to reduce meat demand and encourage consumption of plant based and cultured meat alternatives in China.” Paper in Organized Session. EAAE Congress, Rennes, France, August 2023.
4. Ortega, D. L, Lusk, J., Lin, W., Caputo, V. Predicting responsiveness to information: consumer acceptance of biotechnology in animal products. Paper in Organized Session. EAAE Congress, Rennes, France, August 2023.
5. Ortega, D.L. “Shocks, Supply Chain Disruptions, and Food prices: Experiences and Lessons from Europe and the United States”. Organized Panel Session. EAAE Congress, Rennes, France, August 2023.
6. Ortega, D.L. Lin, L., Sun, J. “The Effectiveness of Misinformation Corrective Strategies and Implications for Consumers’ Food Preferences and Policy Attitudes.” Selected Paper. AAEA, Washington DC, July 2023.
7. Ufer, D., Ortega, D.L. The Complexity of the Decision-Making Process: Impacts of Key Priorities, Knowledge and Information Sources on Active Purchase of Food Labels. Selected Paper. AAEA, Washington DC, July 2023.
8. Herrington, C., Maredia, M, Ortega, D.L. Does Bid Quantity Matter? Comparing Farmer Willingness-to-Pay for Specified vs Open-Ended Quantities of Biofortified Bean and Maize Seed in a Non-hypothetical. Selected Paper. AAEA, Washington DC, July 2023.
9. Herrington, C., Maredia, M, Ortega, D.L. The Impact of Endogenous and Exogenous Factors on Farmer Willingness-to-Pay for Biofortified Bean Seed: A Field Experiment in Rural Zimbabwe. Selected Paper. AAEA, Washington DC, July 2023.
10. Hopkins, K., McKendree, M., Ortega, D.L. Avoiding Fraudulent Meat: Muslim Consumer Preferences for Halal Meat Retailers. Selected Paper. AAEA, Washington DC, July 2023.

University: Louisiana State University

Reporting Participants: Sunghun Lim

Research Seminar, Institute of Developing Economies-Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO), Chiba, Japan, November.

Asian Economic Development Conference, Asian Development Bank, Tokyo, Japan, July 2023.

Conference on Economics of Inequity in Agricultural, Food, and Environmental Systems, Univ. of Minnesota, May 24-25, 2023.

The 97th Annual Conference of the Agricultural Economics Society, Warwick Univ., UK, March 2023.

University: Colorado State University

Reporting Participants: Amanda Countryman

Selected Refereed Conference Paper Presentations

Countryman, A.M.º, V. Litvinov, I. Kolodiazhnyi, M. Bogonos, and O. Nivievskyi. “Global Economic Effects of War-Induced Agricultural Export Declines from Ukraine.” International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium. Clearwater Beach, Florida, December 2023.

Countryman, A.M.º “Agricultural and Economywide Effects of the War in Ukraine.” AAEA Annual Meeting. Wahington, D.C., July 2023

Countryman, A.M.º  “Agricultural and Economywide Effects of the War in Ukraine.” Conference on Global Economic Analysis. Bordeaux, France, June 2023.

Countryman, A.M.º “Potential Economic Implications of CPTPP and RCEP on Global Agriculture: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis,” Australasian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society Annual Meeting, Christchurch, February 2023.

University: University of Tennessee-Knoxville

Reporting Participants: Karen DeLong

Accomplishments:

Project No. TEN00535 S1072

Members: T. Edward Yu, Karen DeLong, and Andrew Muhammad FY20 covers October 1, 2022 – September 30, 2023

Journal Articles

1. Reed, C.², E. Yu¹, and D.W. Hughes. 2023. “Evaluating the factors influencing the location strategies of specialty grocers versus traditional supermarkets in the United States.” Applied Geography, 158, 103034. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2023.103034
2. Martinez, , P. Li², C.N. Boyer, T.E. Yu, and J. Maples. 2023. “Beef Price Spread Relationship with Processing Capacity Utilization.” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, 2(1):133-145.
3. Marks, L.³, J. Thompson, S. Upendram, and T.E. Yu. 2022. “Global Animal Protein Trade Impacts of Large-scale Human Health Events.” Western Economics Forum, 20(2):36-49.
4. Velandia, M., R. Denton, J. Yenerall, L. DeLong, C.J.O. Trejo-Pech, K. Tanaka, K. Rignall, X. Chen, S. Schexnayder. 2023. “Evaluating Factors Influencing Tennessee and Kentucky Farmers’ Willingness to Sell Produce Through Fresh Stop Markets.” Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 28(7): 1-9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1212764
5. Muhammad, A., J. Yenerall, T. Malone, and L. DeLong. 2023. “Formula for Disaster: Exploring the Links Between Federal Policies and the Infant Formula Crisis.” Choices, 38(3):1-7. https://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/submitted-articles/formula- for-disaster-exploring-the-links-between-federal-policies-and-the-infant-formula-crisis
6. Smith, ¹, K.L. DeLong, A.P. Griffith, C. Boyer, C. Martinez, and K.L. Jensen. 2023. “Cow-Calf Producer Preferences for Bull Genomic-Enhanced Expected Progeny Differences.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 48(3): 520-539. https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.322848
7. Gao, , C. Grebitus, and K.L. DeLong. 2023. “Chinese Consumers’ Preferences for Beef Quality Labeling.” European Review of Agricultural Economics, 50(3):1,064-1,102. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbad009
8. DeLong, L., K.L. Jensen, C.N. Boyer, A.P. Griffith, and C. Martinez. 2023. “Feeder Cattle Genomic Tests: Analyzing Cattle Producer Adoption Decisions.” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, 2(2): 334-349. https://doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.61
9. Trejo-Pech, C.J.O., L. DeLong, and R. Johansson. 2023. “How Does the Financial Performance of Sugar-Using Firms Compare to other Agribusinesses? An Accounting and

Economic Profit Rates Analysis.” Agricultural Finance Review, 83(3): 453:477. https://doi.org/10.1108/AFR-08-2022-0103

10. Muhammad, , M. Prince., K.L. DeLong, and T Gill. 2023. “The Effects of Timing, Customer, and Location on Smallholder Broiler Sales in Rwanda.” Journal of Applied Poultry Research, 32(2): 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japr.2022.100268
11. Muhammad, A, C Sicko, & TC Olsson (2023) “African Americans and Federal Land Policy: Exploring The Homestead Acts of 1862 and 1866” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy (In Press). http://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13401
12. Muhammad, A, and Trejo-Pech (2023) “Uncovering the Impacts of Steel Tariffs on the Canned Foods Sector: Reevaluating Trade Policy Winners and Losers” Choices 38(4).
13. Muhammad, A, C Martinez, & A Lawani (2023) “Why Are Eggs so Expensive? Understanding the Recent Spike in Egg Prices” Choices 38(2).
14. Hirasuna, D, D Thilmany, A Muhammad, D Fields, & S Stefanou (2023) “Perspectives on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion in the Agricultural and Applied Economics Profession” Applied Economics Teaching Resources 5(2) doi:10.22004/ag.econ.333520.

University: University of Georgia

Reporting Participants: Gopinath Munisamy

Accomplishments:

2023 Progress Report - Multistate Hatch Project S1072

Georgia Report – Gopinath Munisamy

Journal Articles (*student coauthor)

Jeong*, S., M. Gopinath, A. Kulkarni* and F. Batarseh. 2023. “Deploying Machine Learning

Methods to Predict Global Trading Patterns: The Case of Beef.” Journal of the

American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers, forthcoming.

Poudel*, D., and M. Gopinath. 2023. “Regional Heterogeneity in Undernourishment: The

Case of Nepal. Journal of Agribusiness in Developing and Emerging

Economies, forthcoming.

Khadka*, S., M. Gopinath and F. Batarseh. 2023. “Anomalies in Agricultural Trade: A

Bayesian Classifier Approach,” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics

Association, Volume 2, Issue 3: 402-427. https://doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.69.

Adhikari*, S., D. Poudel* and M. Gopinath. 2023. Is Policy Greasing the Wheels of Global

Palm Oil Trade,” Research on World Agricultural Economy, Volume 4, Issue 2, pp 62-77.

Presentations/media

Annual Meeting of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

Adhikari, S., Poudel, D., and M. Gopinath. “Policy Effects on Global Palm Oil Trade: A Gravity Model Approach.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC.

Balaji, S.J., and M. Gopinath. “Spatial Growth and Convergence in Indian Agriculture.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC

Khanal, A., and M. Gopinath. “Impact of Fresh Blueberry Imports on Domestic Industry.” Selected Presentation, July 2023, Washington DC

Khadka, S., and M. Gopinath. “Anomalies and Recoveries in Agricultural Trade” Selected Presentation, July 2022, Anaheim, CA.

Annual Meeting of the International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium

Khadka, S., M. Gopinath and F. Batarseh. “Shifting Alliances – Friendshoring in Agricultural Trade.” December 2023, Clearwater Beach, FL.

Poudel, D., and M. Gopinath. “Political Instability and Undernourishment: Nepal’s

Decade-Long Insurgency.” December 2023, Clearwater Beach, FL.

Interviewed for “From Georgia to the World.” Georgia Trend, July 2023: https://www.georgiatrend.com/2023/06/27/from-georgia-to-the-world/

University: University of Florida

Reporting Participants: Andrew Schmitz

Author of the book "Agricultural Policy, Agribusiness, and Rent-Seeking Behaviour."

By Andrew Schmitz, Charles B. Moss, Troy G. Schmitz, G. Cornelis van Kooten and H. Carole Schmitz.

University: UC Davis

Reporting Participants: Jens Hilscher

Hilscher, Jens, Alon Raviv and Ricardo Reis, "Inflation Risks are on the Rise" ARE Update, January-February 2022.

Gafarov, Bulat, Tengda Gong, and Jens Hilscher, "What Price is Right? Cigarette Demand Has Become More Responsive to Prices" ARE Update, March-April 2022.

Gafarov, Bulat and Jens Hilscher, "Too Little Too Late? The Two-Pronged Approach of the Federal Reserve" ARE Update, May-June 2022.

University: Purdue University

Reporting Participants: Holly Wang

Journal articles:

1. Ma, M., M. Delgado, and H. H. Wang. “Risk, Arbitrage, and Spatial Price Relationships: Insights from China’s Hog Market under the African Swine Fever.” Journal of Development Economics,165(2023) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2023.103200.
2. Hao, N., H. H. Wang, X. Wang, and M. Wetzstein. “Will the “nouveau-riche” (new-rich) waste more food? Evidence from China.” China Agricultural Economics Review, (2023) accepted https://doi.org/10.1108/CAER-07-2022-0139.
3. Moon, D., H. H. Wang and N. Hao. “Consumer behavior in choosing microplastic contaminated seafood across different countries: The role of cultural and attitudinal factors.” Economic Analysis and Policy, 78 (2023):290-306. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2023.03.009.
4. Wang, H. H. “The Perspective of Meat and Meat-Alternative Consumption in China.” Meat Science, 194 (2022), 108982. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.meatsci.2022.108982.
5. Jiang, Y., H. H. Wang, and S. Jin. “Mobilizing the Public to Fight Poverty Using Anti-Poverty Labels in Online Food Market: Evidence from Real Experimental Auction.” Journal of Agricultural Economics, 74(2022):168-190. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12502.
6. Wang, H. H., J. Yang, and N. Hao. “Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Rice from Remediated Soil: Potential from the Public in Sustainable Soil Pollution Treatment.” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19 (15), (2022), 8946. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19158946.
7. Katare, B., H. Yim, A. Byrne, H. H. Wang, M. Wetzstein. “Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Environmentally Sustainable Meat and a Plant-Based Meat Substitute.” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, (2022) https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13285.
8. Wang, H. H., X. Han, Y. Jiang, and G. Wu. “Revealed Consumers’ Preferences for Fresh Produce Attributes in Chinese Online Markets: A Case of Domestic and Imported Apples.” PloS One, 17(6) (2022), e0270257. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270257.

Book Chapters:

1. Delgado, M., M. Ma and H. H. Wang. “Exploring Spatial Price Relationships: The Case of African Swine Fever in China.” Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, Eds by P. Antras, and D. Zilberman, University of Chicago Press, 2023. pp. 139-157.
2. Wang, H. H. and L. Liu. “Small Holders’ Willingness-to-Pay for Alternative Types of Crop Insurance in China.” Managing Risk in Agriculture: A Development Perspective. Eds by A. Mishra, S. C. Kumbhakar and G. Lein, CABI, 2023. pp155-166.

Proceedings:

1. Delgado, M. S., M. Ma, and H. H. Wang. Exploring Spatial Price Relationships: The Case of African Swine Fever in China. Working Paper, w29141. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2021. https://www.nber.org/papers/w29141

University: Ohio State University

Reporting Participants: Ian Sheldon

1. M. Sheldon, “The US’s Power-Based Bargaining and the WTO: Has Anything Really Been Gained?”, Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 44(3) 2022.
2. Heerman and I.M. Sheldon, “Sustainable Agricultural Production, Income and Eco-Labelling: What Can Be Learned from a Modern Ricardian Approach,” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 44(4) 2022.
3. C.K. Chow and I.M. Sheldon, “A Private Bargaining and Efficient Breach Approach to the Problem of U.S.-China Trade: Bringing a Non-Violation Case in the WTO,” Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law, 56(3) 2023.
4. C.K. Chow and I.M. Sheldon, "Combatting a Crisis of Global Food Protectionism Sparked by the War in Ukraine," Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law, 56(5) 2023.
5. M. Sheldon, “Filing WTO Violation and Non-Violation Complaints: A Possible Solution to China’s Market Access Commitments?” in The Future of Trade: A North American Perspective. Eds. A. Payan and D. Gantz. Elgar, December 2023.
6. M. Sheldon and S. McCorriston, “Vertical Markets, Carbon Border Tax Adjustments and ‘Dirty Inputs’”, Working Paper, Andersons Program in International Trade, May 2023.
7. M. Sheldon, “The United States’ Challenge(s) to Canada’s Dairy Import Tariff Rate Quotas: What is all the Fuss About?” Working Paper, Andersons Program in International Trade, July 2023.

Extension Publications 2023:

1. I.M. Sheldon, S. Lee, and C. Zoller, “Where Could the U.S.-Mexico GM Corn Dispute End Up?” Ohio Ag Manager, March 13, 2023.
2. I.M. Sheldon, and C. Zoller, “Will Price Volatility Continue in the World Wheat Market?” Ohio Ag Manager, April 6, 2023.
3. I.M. Sheldon, S. Lee, and C. Zoller, “Where Could the U.S.-Mexico GM Corn Dispute End Up?” farmdocDAILY, April 7, 2023.
4. I.M. Sheldon, and C. Zoller, “What are the Implications of the Black Sea Grain Deal Breaking Down?” Ohio Ag Manager, July 18, 2023.
5. I.M. Sheldon, and C. Zoller, “Post-Black Sea Grain Deal: What’s Happening to Wheat Prices?” Ohio Ag Manager, October 10, 2023.

University: North Dakota State University

Reporting Participants: Sandro Steinbach

Referred Publication

• Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “U.S. Agricultural Exports and the 2022 Mississippi River Drought,” Agribusiness, first published online.
• Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “Global Container Shipping Disruptions, Pop-Up Ports, and U.S. Agricultural Exports,” Applied Economic Perspectives & Policy, first published online.
• Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “Retaliatory Tariffs and Container Shipping Disruptions Cause Considerable Trade Damages to California’s Almond Industry,” Choices, 38(2): 1–9.
• Colin A. Carter, Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “Supply Chain Disruptions and Containerized Agricultural Exports from California Ports,” Applied Economic Perspectives & Policy, 45(2): 1051–1071.
• Soojung Ahn and Sandro Steinbach (2023). “The Impact of COVID-19 Trade Measures on Agricultural and Food Trade,” Applied Economic Perspectives & Policy, 45(2): 911–927.
• Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2023). “The Impact of Maritime Shipping Disruptions on U.S. Tree Nut Exports and Inventories,” Agribusiness, 39 (3): 904–911.
• Sandro Steinbach (2023). “The Russia-Ukraine War and Global Trade Reallocations,” Economics Letters, 226: 111075.
• Soojung Ahn and Sandro Steinbach (2023). “Agri-Food Trade Resilience among Food-Deficit Countries during the COVID-19 Pandemic,” International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 26(3): 397–408.
• Soojung Ahn, Dongin Kim and Sandro Steinbach (2023). “The Impact of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine on Grain and Oilseed Trade,” Agribusiness, 39(1): 291–299.
• Heidi Schweizer, Sandro Steinbach and Xiting Zhuang (2022). “A Portrait of Firms that Trade in Meat Products,” Western Economics Forum, 20(2): 6–18.
• Sandro Steinbach (2022). “Port Congestion, Container Shortages, and U.S. Foreign Trade,” Economics Letters, 213: 110392.

University: Michigan State University

Reporting Participants: David L Ortega

Journal Article Publications

1. Farris, J., Maredia, M., Mason-Wardell, N., Ortega, D.L. (2023). Farmer Personality and Community-Based Extension Effectiveness in Tanzania. World Development, accepted.
2. Maredia, M., Porter, M., Nakasone, E., Ortega, D.L., Caputo, V. (2023). Does increasing the availability of a nutritious food produced by a SME increase its consumption? Evidence from a field experiment in Kenya. Applied Economic Perspective and Policy, accepted.
3. Ufer, D.J., Ortega, D.L. (2023). Right on the money? U.S. dairy farmers’ varied understanding of consumer preferences and attitudes towards animal health, welfare, and biotechnology. Journal of Dairy Research, accepted.
4. Ufer, D.J., Ortega, D.L. (2023). The Complexity of Food Purchase Motivations: Impacts of Key Priorities, Knowledge, and Information Sources on Active Purchase of Food Labels. Food Quality and Preference, accepted.
5. Lin, W., Ortega, D. L., & Caputo, V. (2023). Experimental quantity, mental budgeting and food choice: a discrete choice experiment application. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 50 (2), 457-496.
6. Herrington, C., Maredia, M., Ortega, D.L., Taleon, V., Birol, E., Sarkar, A.R., Rahaman, S. (2023). Rural Bangladeshi Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Rice with Improved Nutrition via Zink Biofortified Rice and Decreased Milling Practices. Agricultural Economics, 54(1), 5-22.
7. Sun, J., Ortega, D. L., & Lin, W. (2023). Food values drive Chinese consumers' demand for meat and milk substitutes. Appetite, 181, 106392.
8. Ortega, D. L., Caputo, V., & Maredia, M. (2023). Effectiveness of nutritional information in increasing demand for enriched yoghurt among poor households in Kenya: Implications for agribusiness marketing strategies. Agribusiness, 39 (1), 285-290.

University: Mississippi State University

Reporting Participants: Juyoung Lee

Accomplishments:

Lee, J. & Karpova, E. (submitted). Chapter 3. Textile and apparel supply chains. Global global: The textile and apparel industry, 5^th edition. Bloomsbury Publishing USA.

 University: Louisiana State University

Reporting Participants: Sunghun Lim

1. Bullock, David W., Sunghun Lim, and Sandro Steinbach. “Southern Economic Impacts of Premium-to-Liability Ratio Limits in U.S. Crop Insurance.” Southern Ag Today 3(25.4). June 22, 2023.

2. Lim, Sunghun (2023). “Global Agricultural Value Chains and Structural Transformation,” David Zilberman and Pol Antràs (Editors), NBER Book series, Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, the University of Chicago Press.

3. Lim, Sunghun (2023), “Risk Aversion, Crop Diversity, and Food Security,” Applied Economics.

4. Lim, Sunghun & Anh Nguyen (2023), "Shifting Trade Winds: Southeast Asia’s Response to the US-China Trade War," Asian Development Review (forthcoming).

5. Afesorgbor, Sylvanus K. and Sunghun Lim (2023). “Food Security, Agri-Food Trade and COVID-19: Evidence from South Asia,” Journal of Agricultural & Applied Economics Association.

6. Yu, Jisang & Sunghun Lim (2024), "Understanding Inequality in US Farm Subsidy Using a Large-scale Administrative Data," revision requested at American Journal of Agricultural Economics (AJAE), forthcoming.

University: Kansas State University

Reporting Participants: Jisang Yu

Lobell, David and Nelson B. Villoria (2023) “Reduced benefits of climate-smart agricultural policies from land use spillovers.” Nature Sustainability, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01112-w.

 Hendricks, Nathan, Aaron Smith, Nelson B. Villoria, Matthieu Stigler (2023). "The Effects of Agricultural Policy on Supply and Productivity: Evidence from Differential Changes in Distortions." Agricultural Economics. DOI: 10.1111/agec.12741.

 Chen, Bowen and Nelson B. Villoria (2022). “Foreign Yield Shocks and Domestic Price Variability: The Case of Maize in Developing Countries.” Environmental Research Letters. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aca7d5

 Villoria, Nelson, Rachael Garrett, Florian Gollnow, and Kimberly Carlson (2022). “Leakage Does Not Fully Offset Soy Supply-Chain Efforts to Reduce Deforestation in Brazil.” Nature Communications 13, no. 1 (September 17, 2022): 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33213-z. (Fifth Edition Mapbiomas First Place General Category Award for Best Research Article, 2023.)gma

 Yu, Jisang, Nelson B. Villoria, and Nathan Hendricks (2022). “The Incidence of Foreign Market Accessibility on Farmland Rental Rates.” Food Policy, 112, DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2022.102343

 Arnold, Chelsea, et al. (Yu, Jisang) "The Role of Risk in Farmland Contract Choices." Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 48.2 (2023): 398-411.

 Janzen,Joseph P., Bryn Swearingen, and Jisang Yu. "Buying time: The effect of Market Facilitation Program payments on the supply of grain storage." Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2023).

 Yu, Jisang, and Georgi T. Gabrielyan. "Do large farms make better choices: Evidence from dairy margin coverage program participation patterns." Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 45, no. 4 (2023): 2235-2254.

 Goh, Gyuhyeong, and Jisang Yu. "Causal inference with some invalid instrumental variables: A quasi‐Bayesian approach." Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 84, no. 6 (2022): 1432-1451.

University: Iowa State University

Reporting Participants: E. Kwan Choi

Choi, Yoonho, and E. Kwan Choi. "Why exchange rate pass-through matters in forward exchange markets." Economic Modelling 110 (2022): 105795.

University: Colorado State University

Reporting Participants: Amanda Countryman

de Menezes*, T.C., J.B. de Souza Ferreira Filho, and A.M. Countryman. 2023. Potential economic impacts of foot-and-mouth disease in Brazil: A case study for Mato Grosso and Paraná.” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association. 2(3): 481-496. https://doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.73